Chargers vs. Texans Week 4 Prediction and Odds - Oct 2, 2022

The Houston Texans face the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 4 action at NRG Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Chargers vs. Texans, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

This LA Chargers vs. Houston betting preview is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a No Sweat First Bet bonus up to $1,000 for new customers.

Who will win Chargers vs. Texans?

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chargers-Texans NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chargers a 69% chance of winning against the Texans in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Free Betting Guide for Chargers vs. Texans

Chargers vs. Texans Game Odds

• Spread: Texans +5.5 (-105), Chargers -5.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Texans +205, Chargers -240
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Texans are +5.5 underdogs against the Chargers, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Chargers (-5.5) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +205, which means you can bet $100 to profit $205, earning a total payout of $305, if they win.

Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chargers at -240, where you can risk $240 to win $100, for a total payout of $340, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 45.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Texans (+5.5) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 45.5 points is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 4 Game

Best Bets for Chargers vs. Texans

• Spread: Texans +5.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Texans @ +205 via Caesars Sportsbook
• Total: Under 45.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (51% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you make smarter decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Chargers are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Texans moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Chargers vs. Texans Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for LA Chargers vs. Houston at NRG Stadium in Week 4 has the Chargers winning 25-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Chargers-Texans matchup in Week 4, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Chargers vs. Texans Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Texans? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chargers and Texans, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is most likely to score the first TD in Chargers vs. Texans.

DimersBOT gives Ekeler a 13.4% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Chargers RB is a 51.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Los Angeles Chargers

• Austin Ekeler: 13.4% probability
• Mike Williams: 10.4% probability
• Joshua Palmer: 8.5% probability
• Gerald Everett: 6.7% probability
• DeAndre Carter: 6.0% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 10.0% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 8.0% probability
• Nico Collins: 6.5% probability
• Rex Burkhead: 4.1% probability
• Davis Mills: 4.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Los Angeles Chargers

• Austin Ekeler: 51.9% probability
• Mike Williams: 43.1% probability
• Joshua Palmer: 35.9% probability
• Gerald Everett: 29.6% probability
• DeAndre Carter: 27.0% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 42.7% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 34.8% probability
• Nico Collins: 29.1% probability
• Rex Burkhead: 20.1% probability
• Davis Mills: 18.8% probability

Chargers-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected to have a big game with 294 passing yards. The Texans' Davis Mills is expected to throw for 259 yards.

Chargers Starting QB

• Justin Herbert: 294 projected yards

Texans Starting QB

• Davis Mills: 259 projected yards

Chargers Rushing

• Austin Ekeler: 47 projected yards
• Sony Michel: 17 projected yards
• Justin Herbert: 14 projected yards

Texans Rushing

• Dameon Pierce: 61 projected yards
• Rex Burkhead: 18 projected yards
• Davis Mills: 7 projected yards

Chargers Receiving

• Mike Williams: 69 projected yards
• Joshua Palmer: 44 projected yards
• Gerald Everett: 43 projected yards
• DeAndre Carter: 43 projected yards
• Austin Ekeler: 37 projected yards

Texans Receiving

• Brandin Cooks: 65 projected yards
• Nico Collins: 47 projected yards
• Rex Burkhead: 25 projected yards
• Chris Moore: 20 projected yards
• Pharaoh Brown: 19 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Chargers vs. Texans on Sunday October 2, 2022.

Chargers vs. Texans 2022

The NFL Week 4 action between the Texans and Chargers at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday October 2, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

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