Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots Prediction: NFL Week 13 Odds, Best Bets, Player Props [2023]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots Prediction: NFL Week 13 Odds, Best Bets, Player Props [2023]

The New England Patriots will take on the favored Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 13 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' in-depth betting preview for this week's Chargers vs. Patriots matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

Who Will Win: Chargers vs. Patriots

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Chargers-Patriots NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chargers a 71% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 13 of the NFL season.

More: Get the latest NFL picks

Chargers vs. Patriots Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Chargers Patriots
Spread -4 (-112) +4 (-108)
Moneyline -215 +180
Total o38.5 (-110) u38.5 (-106)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Today's LA Chargers vs. New England prediction is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

The Patriots are listed as +4 underdogs versus the Chargers, with -108 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Chargers (-4) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -112.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +180, which means you can bet $100 to profit $180, earning a total payout of $280, if they win.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chargers at -215, where you can risk $215 to win $100, for a total payout of $315, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 38.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -106.

According to DimersBOT, the Chargers (-4) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 38.5 points has a 51% chance of going Over.

As always, make sure you check all of the sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Chargers vs. Patriots

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best bets to place on this game:

 

Our NFL best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on LA Chargers vs. New England to receive $150 in bonus bets, win or lose!

Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for LA Chargers vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 13 has the Chargers winning 22-17.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Chargers vs. Patriots.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Chargers vs. Patriots in Week 13, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Chargers vs. Patriots TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Patriots? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chargers and Patriots this Sunday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Ekeler a 16.4% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Chargers RB is a 53.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

Player First Touchdown Probability
Austin Ekeler 16.4%
Keenan Allen 10.5%
Jalen Guyton 5.4%
Joshua Kelley 5.1%
Gerald Everett 4.9%

New England Patriots

Player First Touchdown Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 10.1%
Ezekiel Elliott 6.6%
DeVante Parker 5.3%
Bailey Zappe 4.3%
Hunter Henry 3.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Anytime Touchdown Probability
Austin Ekeler 53.4%
Keenan Allen 38.3%
Jalen Guyton 21.2%
Joshua Kelley 20.5%
Quentin Johnston 19.9%

New England Patriots

Player Anytime Touchdown Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 38.1%
Ezekiel Elliott 26.7%
DeVante Parker 22.4%
Bailey Zappe 18.9%
Hunter Henry 16.6%

Chargers-Patriots Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Chargers and Patriots, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Chargers vs. Patriots Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 235 passing yards. The Patriots' Bailey Zappe is expected to throw for 213 yards.

Player Projected Passing Yards
Justin Herbert (LAC) 235 yds
Bailey Zappe (NE) 213 yds

Chargers Rushing

Player Projected Rushing Yards
Austin Ekeler 54 yds
Joshua Kelley 21 yds
Justin Herbert 10 yds

Patriots Rushing

Player Projected Rushing Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson 54 yds
Ezekiel Elliott 29 yds
Bailey Zappe 14 yds

Chargers Receiving

Player Projected Receiving Yards
Keenan Allen 79 yds
Austin Ekeler 40 yds
Quentin Johnston 38 yds
Jalen Guyton 38 yds
Gerald Everett 29 yds

Patriots Receiving

Player Projected Receiving Yards
DeVante Parker 42 yds
Hunter Henry 25 yds
JuJu Smith-Schuster 24 yds
Rhamondre Stevenson 23 yds
Tyquan Thornton 21 yds

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for the latest betting analysis before Chargers vs. Patriots on Sunday December 3, 2023.

 

Chargers vs. Patriots Preview

The NFL Week 13 matchup between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

How to Bet on Chargers vs. Patriots

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL today? We've listed the best available sign-up offers in each legal betting state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on LA Chargers vs. New England.

Conclusion

This extensive betting preview centers around our Chargers vs. Patriots prediction and Week 13 odds.

Our predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Chargers vs. Patriots predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

More on NFL

Stay well-informed on the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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