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CFB Computer Picks, Analysis and Prediction For Virginia vs. Georgia Tech on October 20, 2022
This matchup between the Virginia Cavaliers and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at 7:30PM ET on Thursday, October 20 might not mean a lot to many people, but it's a midweek meeting between two ACC programs and that means we have you covered from a betting perspective.
Which one of these teams will help you build some bankroll for the weekend? You might want to keep reading our Virginia vs. Georgia Tech betting preview to find out.
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Virginia vs. Georgia Tech Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- 54% chance Georgia Tech wins on the moneyline
- 58% probability Virginia covers the +3.5 spread
- 52% shot Virginia vs. Georgia Tech goes Over 45.5 total points
For the best CFB computer picks, check out our Virginia vs. Georgia Tech. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Virginia vs. Georgia Tech Analysis
Why Virginia Will Cover The Spread
Things have just been very ugly for Virginia this season, even in a year that wasn't exactly supposed to be all that great. However, the Cavaliers did have some extra time to prepare for this game, and that could give head coach Tony Elliott some time to get his offense right.
Virginia has scored 17 or fewer points in four of its last five games and it's just very surprising to see the unit struggling like this. Elliott is an offensive-minded coach and he returned a very good quarterback in Brennan Armstrong. Perhaps the time off will allow him and Armstrong to look at some things and try to get back to what was working in previous years.
For what it's worth, Virginia is 3-1 against the spread in this head-to-head series since the start of the 2017-18 season.
MORE: CFB Futures Probabilities
Why Georgia Tech Will Cover The Spread
Virginia has lost three games in a row and is just 1-5 ATS on the season. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech has won two games in a row outright and has covered in each of the last three. This team is playing some much better football now that Geoff Collins is gone, and it just shouldn't surprise anybody if the Yellow Jackets stay hot with a win and cover here.
Quarterback Jeff Sims has been really solid in recent weeks, throwing for four touchdowns with no interceptions over the last three games. He has also rushed for a total of 176 yards over the last two weeks, and this Yellow Jackets offense is dangerous when he's taking care of the football and using his legs at the right time. We just aren't quite sure Virginia will be able to get off the field in the biggest of moments, but Georgia Tech should be able to do that with the adrenaline of playing at home.
The Cavaliers are 3-6 ATS when coming off a loss to an ACC opponent.
Why The Over Will Hit
The Over has hit in each of the last two games that Virginia has played, with the team giving up an average of 36.0 points per game in losses to Duke and Louisville in that span. Those offenses aren't exactly bad, but it shows you the state of this Cavaliers defense right now.
It just wouldn't be too surprising if the Virginia defense struggled to keep Sims in check in this game. Also, these teams combined to score 88 points in last year's matchup, and the Over has now hit in each of the last four meetings between these two.
RELATED: Full betting previews for every CFB game
Why The Under Will Hit
The Virginia defense has had a few extra days to try and prepare for this Yellow Jackets offense, so perhaps they'll avoid letting this one get completely out of hand. Also, Georgia Tech's last two games have gone Under the total, so these two are playing different brands of football. But one of them will impose their will on this game, and it very well could be the home team.
The Under is actually 4-2 in games in which Georgia Tech has been favored over the last three years, and it's 1-5 in all Yellow Jackets games this season. We do think they'll move the ball in this game, but they'll do a lot of it on the ground. That'll help the clock run quite a bit.
Virginia vs. Georgia Tech Prediction
Lean: Georgia Tech -3.5
This is a meeting between two teams heading in opposite directions, and the one with all the momentum just so happens to be playing at home. Lay the points and take Georgia Tech.
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Zachary Cohen, a University of Wisconsin graduate, has written about betting and fantasy sports for prominent outlets like Covers, Sports Illustrated, Forbes Sports, Tennis Channel, and FOX Bet, with a strong focus on the NBA and college athletics.
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