CFB Computer Picks, Analysis and Prediction For USC vs. Utah on October 15, 2022

Updated: Dec 21, 2023, 2:55PM | First published: Oct 12, 2022, 7:44PM

Written by Brendan Moore, Contributor

CFB Computer Picks, Analysis and Prediction For USC vs. Utah on October 15, 2022

The USC Trojans face their toughest test of the season when they head to Salt Lake City for a meeting with the Utah Utes at 8:00PM ET on Saturday, October 15. As of this moment, the Trojans look like they have a real shot at making the College Football Playoff. But Lincoln Riley's team is an underdog in this game, so it's do-or-die time for USC here.

Will the Trojans make a statement by beating the Utes on the road? You might want to keep reading our USC vs. Utah betting preview to find out.

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USC vs. Utah Computer Picks

Predictive Analytics Data

59% chance Utah wins on the moneyline
52% probability Utah covers the -3.5 spread
51% shot USC vs. Utah goes Under 65 total points

For the best CFB computer picks, check out our USC vs. Utah. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.

USC vs. Utah Analysis

Why USC Will Cover The Spread

USC has been a pleasant surprise on defense this season. The Trojans lead the nation in sacks with 24. USC also has the best turnover margin in FBS at +14. The next closest team has a turnover margin of +9. Utah usually doesn’t have trouble with turning the ball over, but the Utes did have two turnovers at UCLA last week.

The Trojans have one of the best offenses in the Pac-12 with quarterback Caleb Williams and his group of lethal weapons. The battles between the USC receivers and the Utah secondary could decide the outcome of this game, since the spread is only at 3.5 in favor of Utah. We think that USC’s ability to force turnovers is being underrated by Vegas, so we like USC plus the points here. USC needs to get off to a fast start to quiet the crowd. Also, Utah is less explosive offensively, so it will be hard for the Utes to make a comeback.

MORE: CFB Futures Probabilities

Why Utah Will Cover The Spread

To put it plainly: Utah is an all-around solid team. The Utes don’t make a ton of mistakes under Kyle Whittingham. They play fundamentally sound football and win at the line of scrimmage.

Utah is really good at forcing interceptions. The Utes have 10 picks on the season. Cornerback Clark Phillips III has five of those 10 interceptions. Utah has to hold the USC offense, but it's not impossible that the team will do that. The DimersBOT slightly leans toward Utah covering the 3.5-point spread.

It should also be noted that Cam Rising is a very good quarterback, so the Utes offense does have some firepower.

Why The Over Will Hit

These two teams want to operate at different paces. USC likes to sling the ball around and spread the field. Utah likes to run the ball and dominate the line of scrimmage. If USC controls the pace in this game, it could turn into a high scoring affair.

The point total is set at a high number. Vegas expects USC to have its way on offense. We think USC will put up a lot of points as well. Utah had a difficult time containing the UCLA offense. Just like the Bruins, USC has the explosiveness on offense to expose the Utah defense. The Utes would also need to find success offensively for the Over to hit.

Why The Under Will Hit

Even if this game is on the high-scoring side, 65 points is a lot. We think USC will find success on offense, especially considering UCLA exposed the Utah defense, and the Utes might be worn down.

The DimersBOT slightly leans toward the Under here. USC has a lot of offensive weapons and a mobile quarterback. However, USC will force turnovers and hold Utah’s offense.

USC vs. Utah Prediction

Lean: USC +3.5

We think the wrong team is favored here. Utah was exposed by UCLA and USC plays a similar style to the Bruins. We aren’t as confident in the point total, so we will go with USC +3.5 as the best bet. A money line bet might not be too bad of an idea either.

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Written by

Brendan Moore

Contributor

Brendan Moore is an expert in all things college football and basketball with bylines with Sidelines Sports Network and Spartans Illustrated, covering Michigan State collegiate sports.