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CFB Computer Picks, Analysis and Prediction For UCLA vs. Oregon on October 22, 2022
The Oregon Ducks have been one of the hottest teams in the country, but they host an undefeated UCLA Bruins team at 3:30PM ET on Saturday, October 22. This should be the most exciting day of the entire college football slate, so make sure you are tuned in here.
Will the Bruins find a way to remain unbeaten? You might want to keep reading our UCLA vs. Oregon betting preview to find out.
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UCLA vs. Oregon Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- 62% chance Oregon wins on the moneyline
- 51% probability UCLA covers the +6 spread
- 53% shot UCLA vs. Oregon goes Under 71.5 total points
For the best CFB computer picks, check out our UCLA vs. Oregon. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
UCLA vs. Oregon Analysis
Why UCLA Will Cover The Spread
The identity of a Chip Kelly team typically is an offense with great playmakers like Marcus Mariota, LaMichael James and Joshua Kelly. While this Chip Kelly team has that with quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, running back Zach Charbonnet and wide receiver Jake Bobo, UCLA is a very physical football team. Charbonnet provides a lot of that physicality. He averages 7.1 yards per carry this season and Oregon will have a hard time stopping him.
The Bruins strength lies on offense. They have scored 40 or more points in five of their six games. The defense is the main question mark. However, the defense is good at getting to the quarterback, as UCLA has 15 sacks this season. If the Bruins can disrupt Oregon quarterback Bo Nix, they can force turnovers and win this game outright.
The spread for this game is Oregon -6. But the Bruins might have too good of an offense to lose this game by more than one score.
MORE: CFB Futures Probabilities
Why Oregon Will Cover The Spread
Oregon has also exploded on offense. The Ducks have scored more than 40 points in each of their last five games. Nix has found his groove behind a good offensive line. Despite being relatively unknown before the season, the Oregon skill players have performed well.
If the Oregon defense can simply slow down the UCLA offense, the Ducks can win this game. Oregon needs to keep the ball out of Thompson-Robinson’s hands. The Ducks also need to control the clock and win the line of scrimmage.
The DimersBOT likes Oregon minus the six points here. UCLA’s offense could be due for a bad game. The Bruins haven’t had a bad offensive display this season. It realistically could happen against a solid Oregon defense.
Why The Over Will Hit
This game could easily turn into a shootout. If UCLA’s front seven can’t penetrate the Oregon offensive line, Nix will slice and dice the Bruin defense. The same thing could be said for Oregon’s front seven. However, UCLA can score points in multiple ways. The Bruins are super hard to stop. There is a scenario where this game is in the 80s.
The point total is at 69.5. While we don’t feel strongly about the Over, it wouldn’t shock us if this game gets into the 70s or 80s based on how good these offenses are.
RELATED: Full betting previews for every CFB game
Why The Under Will Hit
This is a lot of points. While both offenses are good, both defenses are talented with players like Oregon linebacker Noah Sewell and UCLA linebacker Laiatu Latu. Both teams can get to the quarterback and put pressure on him to make plays.
The DimersBOT likes the Under. The point total is simply too high to justify picking the Over.
UCLA vs. Oregon Prediction
Lean: Bruins +6
UCLA has been one of the more surprising unbeaten teams this season. We think these two teams are pretty evenly matched. UCLA is going to set the pace here and will at least cover the spread in a tough environment.
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Brendan Moore is an expert in all things college football and basketball with bylines with Sidelines Sports Network and Spartans Illustrated, covering Michigan State collegiate sports.
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