College Football Best Bets: Three Favorite Picks for Week 11 of the 2022 Season

We're 11-4 with our last 15 college football best bets and we're hoping to turn in another winning week in Week 11. This slate features some really exciting matchups and we previewed some of the biggest ones earlier in the week. But the ones below are the moneymakers, as we're trying to find the sharpest picks of the weekend. 

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Week 11 College Football Best Bets 

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen - 12:00PM ET

The Fighting Irish and Midshipmen will be meeting at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore this weekend and Navy just might find a way to keep this game closer than expected.

If you've been reading this column all year then you know that we have had the Fighting Irish to cover in each of the last two weeks, so we know that this is a good football team. But it also happens to be one that is in a letdown spot, as they just earned a win over Clemson a week ago. They also went on the road and beat a good Syracuse team two weeks ago. That means it might be hard for some of the Fighting Irish players to get up for this one. 

Navy also happens to be playing some more spirited football recently. The Midshipmen are actually 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games, and they have really gotten their running game going after a slow start to the year. 

The Midshipmen are weakest on the defensive side of the ball, but that might not be too big of an issue against a Fighting Irish squad that is rather lousy offensively. Navy also happens to be 6-0 ATS when facing teams with winning percentages of 60.0% to 75.0% since the start of the 2020-21 season. The Midshipmen have only lost those games by 1.9 points per game, despite these last few years being rough on Ken Niumatalolo and Co. This trend also held up last week, as Navy covered against a very good Cincinnati team. 

BET: Navy +15.5 at -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook

🏈 Notre Dame vs. Navy Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Notre Dame vs. Navy

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels - 3:30PM ET

Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have gone Over the total, which has actually been set at 70 or higher in three of the last four that these two have played against one another. These are two programs that are known for their ability to score and these offenses tend to bring out the best in one another. 

Alabama's defense also happens to be in a very bad way right now, with the Crimson Tide coming into this one after having given up 52 points to Tennessee three weeks ago and then 32 points to LSU last week. Considering Ole Miss is 17th in the nation in scoring offense at 37.4 points per game, you'd have to think that this Rebels team will give the Tide a lot of problems. Quinshon Judkins is definitely a guy to keep an eye on here, as the Ole Miss running back has already rushed for 1,036 yards with 13 touchdowns this season. 

The Crimson Tide will, however, be able to score a lot on their own. They're actually the better offense between these two, as they're sixth in the nation in scoring offense at 41.8 points per game. 

This just has all the makings of a massive shootout and the two coaches in this game make that all the more likely. Lane Kiffin is going to be trying to show the world that he can light up Alabama's defense again, but Nick Saban is going to want to show his former assistant who's boss. 

BET: Over 64.5 at -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

🏈 Alabama vs. Ole Miss Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Alabama vs. Ole Miss

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San Jose State Spartans vs. San Diego State Aztecs - 10:30PM ET

Going on the road and winning in the Mountain West isn't easy, but it's hard not to like the Spartans here. San Jose State has just been much better offensively since playing Auburn in its second game of the year. Since then, the Spartans have scored at least 28 points in five of their six games, and they have gotten explosive plays out of both the passing game and the running game. 

That type of offense is just going to be really hard for San Diego State to overcome, as only 13 teams in all of FBS average fewer points per game than the Aztecs' 19.6. Brady Hoke's team does have a reliable defense, which is why San Diego State has a winning record right now. But great offense beats great defense and we just don't see the Aztecs scoring enough points to win this game — or cover as a small 2.5-point underdog. 

The Spartans also happen to be 6-0 ATS in road games in the second half of the year since the start of the 2020-21 season. 

BET: San Jose State -2.5 at -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

🏈 San Jose State vs. San Diego State Predictions
📈 Betting preview: San Jose State vs. San Diego State