Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction, Player Props for Game 4 [2024 NBA Finals]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction, Player Props for Game 4 [2024 NBA Finals]

The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Boston Celtics in Game 4 of the 2024 NBA Finals at American Airlines Center on Friday, starting at 8:30PM ET.

Led by the likes of Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Jrue Holiday, the Celtics are aiming to beat a Mavericks team that includes Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers.com’s predictive NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) has picked the Boston Celtics as the most likely winner of the game.

“We have used the latest data to simulate the outcome of Friday's Celtics-Mavericks game 10,000 times,” said Dimers.com data analyst Greg Butyn. “Factoring in all recent updates and numerous additional inputs, we forecast a 56% win probability for the Celtics versus 44% for the Mavericks.”

Celtics vs. Mavs Game 4 Updates and Essential Details

Friday's Game 4 between the Mavericks and Celtics in the NBA Finals is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Celtics vs. Mavericks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any the Mavericks vs. Celtics picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

The winner of the 2024 NBA Finals between the Celtics and Mavericks wins the NBA championship. Game 4 of the best-of-seven series is at Dallas' American Airlines Center.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win Game 4

We have used trusted machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Friday's NBA FInals game between the Celtics and Mavericks 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NBA picks.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Celtics a 56% chance of defeating the Mavericks in Game 4 of the 2024 Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 4 of the 2024 NBA Finals has the Celtics winning 106-104.

According to our model, the Celtics (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 211.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going under.

 

Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Celtics Mavericks
Spread -1.5 (-105) +1.5 (-112)
Moneyline -115 +100
Total o211.5 (-110) u211.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 Picks

The strongest edge our model has found in this Celtics vs. Mavericks matchup is on the moneyline. Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NBA bets in each major market, every day of the season.

Full access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.

Plus, gain access to all of today's bets, expert analysis, real-time updates, and exclusive insights, including unlimited best bets, props, trends, and customizable parlays.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 Player Props

Looking for Celtics vs. Mavericks NBA player props? We use the best information available to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers.

Jayson Tatum is expected to lead the way for the Celtics with 28 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to finish with 33 points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists for the Mavericks.

Celtics Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Jayson Tatum 28 9 7 4
Jaylen Brown 26 7 4 3
Jrue Holiday 16 6 6 2
Derrick White 16 5 6 3
Al Horford 11 6 2 3

MORE: NBA First Basket Predictions for Friday

Mavericks Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Mavericks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Luka Doncic 33 9 10 5
Kyrie Irving 28 4 5 4
P.J. Washington 13 7 2 2
Dereck Lively 10 7 1 0
Daniel Gafford 9 6 1 0

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out Friday's NBA prop picks.

Calling Our Shot: Free NBA Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Celtics, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NBA

Stay well-informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the NBA Finals, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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