College Basketball Power Rankings: Top 5 Most Likely CBB National Champions for March Madness

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Written by Greg Waddell
College Basketball Power Rankings: Top 5 Most Likely CBB National Champions for March Madness

With March Madness quickly approaching, we took a deep dive into our predictive analytics model's five most likely teams to win the NCAA Basketball national championship in the 2023 NCAA Tournament. One of the most difficult prizes in all of sports to win is the college basketball National Championship and these are the teams with the best chance of cutting down the nets at the end of March.

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2023 NCAA Basketball National Championship Probabilities

NCAAB TEAM PROBABILITY CHANGE ODDS
Houston Cougars 8.4% -0.2% +700
Alabama Crimson Tide 6.7% -0.1% +1000
Kansas Jayhawks 6.1% +1.0% +1000
Purdue Boilermakers 6.0% -0.6% +1000
Arizona Wildcats 4.8% +0.3% +1400

Who will win this year's College Basketball National Championship?

The story of the 2022-2023 college basketball season has been how wide open the sport is - anyone can truly beat anyone on any given night. It will surely make for a wild March, and along the way, we will try our best to decipher where the best value is for betting college basketball futures.

Our DimersBOT model has locked in on five teams that have the best chance to win the national championship at the end of the college basketball season.

The top five teams that could win the College Basketball National Championship

1. Houston Cougars

Houston remains our model's most probable champion, sitting atop the model's rankings for the second consecutive week. We give the Cougars an 8.4% probability to win the national championship, down slightly from 8.6% last week. Sitting at +700 odds, they are the betting favorite as well.

The Cougars are clicking at the right time, and continue to dominate conference play in the American. It is looking more and more like Houston could hold the #1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament.

2. Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama is our model's 2nd-most probable champion. We give the Crimson Tide a 6.7% probability to win the national championship, down slightly from 6.8% last week. You can bet Alabama to win it all at +1000 odds.

Alabama is shrouded in controversy at the moment, as news came to light that Brandon Miller transported the gun that his former teammate Darius Miles then handed to the suspect who pulled the trigger in the murder of Jamea Harris in January. Miller has not been suspended and has continued to play all season long. Miller's status down the stretch and how the team handles this news emotionally will decide whether or not Alabama can truly make a run.

3. Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas is our model's 3rd-most probable champion. We give the Jayhawks a 6.1% probability to win the national championship, up from 5.1% last week. You can bet Kansas to win it all at +1000 odds.

Kansas is our biggest riser in the Top 5, storming back from down double digits to defeat Baylor and then going on the road to TCU and coming out with a win. The Jayhawks look like a legitimate threat to repeat as national champions.

4. Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue is our model's 4th-most probable champion. We give the Boilermakers a 6.0% probability to win the national championship, down from 6.6% last week. You can bet Purdue to win it all at +1000 odds.

The gap is closing on Purdue in the Big Ten, as they hold a narrow lead over Northwestern heading into the stretch run. Purdue is a bit one-dimensional, and will need their freshman guards to step up big time to win six straight in the NCAA Tournament.

5. Arizona Wildcats

Arizona is our model's 5th-most probable champion. We give the Wildcats a 4.8% probability to win the national championship, up from 4.5% last week. You can bet Arizona to win it all at +1400 odds.

Arizona jumped their PAC-12 counterpart UCLA in this week's rankings, making their first appearance in our top five since earlier in the season. The Wildcats are led by star big man Azuolas Tubelis, who is a likely first team All-American at season's end.

Check back in with Dimers throughout the college basketball season, as we serve up daily best bets, player props and the best sportsbook offers! The "Bet $5, Get $200 in site credit" offer from DraftKings Sportsbook is a great way to bet college basketball.

 
 
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Written by
Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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