Carlton Blues vs. Richmond Tigers Prediction: Blues Predicted to Win Thursday's AFL Round 1 Matchup [3/13/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Carlton Blues vs Richmond Tigers matchup.

Carlton Blues-Richmond Tigers Predictions and Game Preview.
Melbourne Cricket Ground sets the stage for the AFL matchup between the Carlton Blues and Richmond Tigers this Thursday.

The Richmond Tigers and Carlton Blues are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 4:30AM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Blues as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Carlton-Richmond game 10,000 times," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Blues with a win probability of 96% and the Tigers with 4%."

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Blues vs. Tigers predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20AFL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Blues vs. Blues Prediction: Who Will Win Round 1 Game?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's AFL matchup between the Blues and Tigers 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Blues a 96% chance of defeating the Tigers.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Blues and Tigers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 7:48AM, Mar 12
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
Blues
Win %
96%
4%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Tigers
Blues CAR
Win %
96%
4%
See Matchup
Tigers RIC
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Blues vs. Tigers Odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Blues Tigers
H2H (Moneyline) -3333 +1100
Line (Spread) -46.5 (-115) +46.5 (-115)
Total o177.5 (-115) u177.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Blues vs. Tigers Picks and Best Bets

Tigers vs. Blues Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's Australian rules football game between the Tigers and Blues at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:30AM ET.

  • Who: Carlton Blues vs. Richmond Tigers
  • Date: Thursday, March 13, 2025
  • Time: 4:30AM ET/1:30AM PT
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Blues vs. Tigers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Carlton vs. Richmond picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Blues, with a 96% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blues vs. Tigers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on AFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest AFL news, AFL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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