Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex de Minaur Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Barcelona Open 2025

profile-img
Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Friday's Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur matchup.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Tennis Prediction.
Our Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur will meet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Barcelona Open event on Friday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"Employing the latest data, we simulated Friday's Alcaraz-de Minaur match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Carlos Alcaraz' chance of winning is 65%, while Alex de Minaur's is 35%."

For a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Alcaraz vs. de Minaur predictions page.

Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20TENNIS
Get Dimers Pro

Alcaraz vs. de Minaur Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Semifinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Alcaraz-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Alcaraz a 65% chance of beating de Minaur at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 62% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Loading game data...

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex de Minaur Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Alcaraz de Minaur
Moneyline -455 +333
First Set -303 +240

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Alcaraz vs. de Minaur Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Alcaraz vs. de Minaur match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every ATP Barcelona Open Pick
Get Dimers Pro

Alcaraz vs. de Minaur Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Barcelona Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to begin on Friday at 10:00AM ET.

  • Who: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex de Minaur
  • Date: Friday, April 18, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 10:00AM ET/7:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Barcelona, Spain Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Alcaraz vs. de Minaur match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex de Minaur picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Alex de Minaur at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alcaraz vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay informed with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

profile-img
Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
...
Read Article
...
Read Article
...
Read Article

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
logo Swipe across to view more offers
logo
Exclusive
$1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if you Don't Win!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Sign up With Code DIMERS to Unlock $150 in Bonus Bets When you Bet $5! Win or Lose!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
HOTTEST
Bet $10 Get $100 in Bonus Bets
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
New Customers Play FREE For Your Share Of Millions
T&C's apply.
How to claim
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 10,000,000+
Users
As seen on
USA Today iconFox Sports iconBleacher Report iconForbes iconSports Illustrated iconYahoo iconESPN iconMLS icon

Loved by our customers

imgimgimg
4.8
Google Reviews
More from Dimers