Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - Oct 13, 2022

NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:30PM ET as the Washington Capitals take on the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Dimers' best betting picks for Capitals vs. Maple Leafs, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

Who will win Capitals vs. Maple Leafs?

Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Capitals-Maple Leafs NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 62% chance of beating the Capitals.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Odds

• Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+128), Capitals +1.5 (-135)
• Moneyline: Maple Leafs -210, Capitals +180
• Total: Over/Under 7 (+115/-130)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Maple Leafs are currently -1.5 favorites against the Capitals, with +128 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Capitals (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -135.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -210, which means you can risk $210 to win $100, for a total payout of $310, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +180, where you can bet $100 to profit $180, earning a total payout of $280, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 7 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +115, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -130.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Capitals (+1.5) are a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 7 goals is a 54% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

• Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 @ -135 via BetMGM (59% probability)
• Moneyline: Capitals @ +180 via BetMGM (2.7% edge)
• Total: Over 7 @ +115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Capitals moneyline is the best option due to the 2.7% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit on this occasion, Over 7 is our best bet on account of the better odds (+115) that are available from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

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Dimers has full coverage of Thursday's Capitals-Maple Leafs matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Capitals vs. Maple Leafs? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Capitals and Maple Leafs.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Capitals vs. Maple Leafs.

DimersBOT gives Matthews an 11.9% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 55.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 7.8% probability
• Dylan Strome: 4.2% probability
• Evgeny Kuznetsov: 4.0% probability
• T.J. Oshie: 3.9% probability
• Anthony Mantha: 3.8% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 11.9% probability
• William Nylander: 7.1% probability
• Mitch Marner: 6.0% probability
• John Tavares: 5.8% probability
• Michael Bunting: 4.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 42.3% probability
• Dylan Strome: 25.7% probability
• Anthony Mantha: 23.7% probability
• Evgeny Kuznetsov: 23.5% probability
• T.J. Oshie: 21.5% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 55.9% probability
• William Nylander: 38.0% probability
• Mitch Marner: 33.4% probability
• John Tavares: 32.0% probability
• Michael Bunting: 24.7% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so check this page for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Capitals vs. Maple Leafs on Thursday October 13, 2022.

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs 2022 Game Info

Thursday's game between the Maple Leafs and Capitals at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Washington Capitals vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Thursday October 13, 2022
• Time: 7:30PM ET / 4:30PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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What other NHL games are on tonight?

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Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!