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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - October 11, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - October 11, 2023

NHL action continues on Wednesday at 7:00PM ET as the Montreal Canadiens take on the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Dimers' top betting picks for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

 

Who Will Win: Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Wednesday's Canadiens-Maple Leafs NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 69% chance of beating the Canadiens.

More: Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Simulated 10,000 Times

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Odds

  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (-120), Canadiens +1.5 (+110)
  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs -285, Canadiens +240
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-110/+110)

The Maple Leafs are -1.5 favorites against the Canadiens, with -120 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Canadiens (+1.5) to cover the puck line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at +110.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -285. That means you can risk $285 to win $100, for a total payout of $385, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Canadiens at +240, where you can bet $100 to profit $240, earning a total payout of $340, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +110.

As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs

  • Puck Line: Canadiens +1.5 @ +110 via PointsBet (52% probability) 🔥
  • Moneyline: Canadiens @ +240 via BetMGM (1.2% edge)
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ +110 via BetMGM (51% probability)

 

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best free picks today across all major pro and college sports.

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Canadiens moneyline is the best option because of the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Wednesday's Canadiens-Maple Leafs game, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Canadiens and Maple Leafs.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Wednesday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs.

DimersBOT gives Matthews an 11.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 50.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Montreal Canadiens

  • Cole Caufield: 5.3% probability
  • Nick Suzuki: 4.1% probability
  • Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 3.9% probability
  • Josh Anderson: 3.8% probability
  • Alex Newhook: 3.4% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 11.4% probability
  • William Nylander: 7.4% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 6.3% probability
  • Mitchell Marner: 6.0% probability
  • John Tavares: 5.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Montreal Canadiens

  • Cole Caufield: 28.7% probability
  • Nick Suzuki: 22.8% probability
  • Josh Anderson: 21.8% probability
  • Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 20.9% probability
  • Alex Newhook: 19.7% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 50.9% probability
  • William Nylander: 38.2% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 32.2% probability
  • Mitchell Marner: 32.2% probability
  • John Tavares: 31.1% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs on Wednesday October 11, 2023.

 

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs 2023

Wednesday's game between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NHL Analysis Like This?

To get more NHL betting predictions like you've just read for Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NHL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can publish the best NHL betting previews available. We're able to do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NHL picks and predictions.

In addition to our leading NHL predictions, we also feature the best NHL prop bets today, projecting first and anytime goal scorers, and more against the top odds available every single day of the NHL season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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