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Flames vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [3/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Monday's Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Calgary Flames in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Calgary-Toronto game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs are likely to win, with a probability of 61%, compared to the Flames' 39%."
For further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Flames vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 61% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Flames vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flames | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +170 | -200 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Flames vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Flames vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Flames-Maple Leafs Pick Get Dimers Pro Flames vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Flames vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 9.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 44.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 7.1% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 6.0% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.1% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.5% |
| William Nylander | 6.2% |
| John Tavares | 5.7% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 34.2% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 28.2% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 23.8% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 44.1% |
| William Nylander | 34.5% |
| Mitch Marner | 28.4% |
Flames vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's game between the Maple Leafs and Flames at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, March 17, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Flames vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Calgary vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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