Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [4/13/2025]

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres will meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Sunday, with puck drop at 6:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Buffalo-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 66%, while the Sabres have 34%."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Sabres vs. Lightning predictions page.

Sabres vs. Sabres Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Sabres and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 66% chance of defeating the Sabres.

According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Sabres vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sabres	Lightning
Puck Line	+1.5 (-110)	-1.5 (-104)
Moneyline	+225	-250
Total	o6.5 (-118)	u6.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sabres vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Sabres vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sabres vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Sabres vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Sabres vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point an 8.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 42.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Sabres

Player	First Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	7.7%
Alex Tuch	5.4%
JJ Peterka	5.2%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	8.5%
Jake Guentzel	8.2%
Nikita Kucherov	7.0%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Sabres

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tage Thompson	38.4%
Alex Tuch	31.3%
JJ Peterka	26.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	42.9%
Jake Guentzel	39.5%
Nikita Kucherov	37.0%

Sabres vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's matchup between the Lightning and Sabres at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
• Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Sabres vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Buffalo vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabres vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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