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Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [3/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00PM ET as the Buffalo Sabres take on the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Buffalo-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lightning with a win probability of 66% and the Sabres with 34%."
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Sabres vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Sabres and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 66% chance of defeating the Sabres.
According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:15PM, Mar 6
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Sabres vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sabres | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-122) | -1.5 (+105) |
| Moneyline | +198 | -235 |
| Total | o6.5 (+100) | u6.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our model's biggest edge in today's Sabres vs. Lightning matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Sabres-Lightning Pick Get Dimers Pro Sabres vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Sabres vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is most likely to score the first goal in Sabres vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Kucherov a 7.9% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 38.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 6.7% |
| JJ Peterka | 4.9% |
| Alex Tuch | 4.7% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.9% |
| Brayden Point | 7.5% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.4% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 34.5% |
| JJ Peterka | 28.4% |
| Alex Tuch | 25.7% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 40.8% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 38.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 36.5% |
Sabres vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's action between the Lightning and Sabres at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, March 6, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Sabres vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Buffalo vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabres vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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