Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins: Our NFL Same Game Parlay on Sunday Night Football

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins: Our NFL Same Game Parlay on Sunday Night Football

The 2023 NFL regular season comes to a close with the Bills and Dolphins battling it out for the AFC East title on Sunday Night Football. Dimers has got you covered for the main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

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NFL +550 Same Game Parlay For Sunday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) Over 262.5 Passing Yards

-115

Gabe Davis (BUF) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards

-115

James Cook (BUF) Anytime TD

+115

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Sunday Night Football Parlay Analysis

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 8:20PM ET

LEG 1: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) Over 262.5 Passing Yards (-115)

We start off our last regular season parlay of the year with the over on Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa's passing yards. The Dolphins have been smacked with injuries lately, including two players who have been key in picking up yards in this offense, WR Jaylen Waddle and RB Raheem Mostert, and both are questionable for tomorrow's game. If they do suit up, expect the Dolphins offense to fire on all cylinders as they tune up for the postseason.

Miami will be motivated in this one as the AFC East title is on the line, and Tyreek Hill is chasing an Offensive Player of the Year award and will need a dominant performance to wrestle the title away from Christian McCaffrey in the final week. The Bills' defense has stepped it up and is a big part of why they're now in a position to steal the division crown, but Tua did pass this mark with the team at full strength in the DOlphins' previous meeting with Buffalo.

MORE: Best NFL Prop Picks

LEG 2: Gabe Davis (BUF) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The Bills wide receiver might be the most volatile player in the entire league. It's all or nothing with Gabe Davis as the Bills simply don't deploy a WR2 in a traditional role with Josh Allen's rushing potential often coming into play and the Bills leaning so much on the run in recent weeks. Davis has as many games over 100 yards (3) as he does with a big fat goose egg, including twice in the past four weeks. He does have big play ability, but his volume is so inconsistent that if he doesn't get a big catch, he's likely not hitting this mark. 

DimersBOT gives Davis a 63.6% probability of going under this mark and that comes with a substantial 10.4% edge in the odds, making this a play with value on its own, too.

LEG 3: James Cook (BUF) Anytime TD (+115)

Time to lean on that rushing volume we mentioned earlier and take Bills RB1 James Cook to punch his way into the endzone. Cook has six touchdowns this season, occasionally being the victim of a Josh Allen goal-line TD (or two) in a game. He's got a great floor for volume, traditionally seeing 15+ carries and 3+ targets out of the backfield, scoring four of his touchdowns via the pass. Miami's defense hasn't exactly locked up opposing offenses either, allowing the sixth-most touchdowns per game.

Cook gets the highest TD probability in this entire game at 49.1%, making the fair price on his touchdown prop closer to even money at +100, so this is another great play on value.

🏈 Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins


NFL +550 Same Game Parlay Sunday, January 7, 2023

1️⃣ Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) Over 262.5 Passing Yards
2️⃣ Gabe Davis (BUF) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards
3️⃣ James Cook (BUF) Anytime TD

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

 

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Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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