Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction: Odds, Picks for NFL Week 14 [2023]

The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are scheduled to meet in Week 14 of the NFL season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers' comprehensive betting preview for this week's Bills vs. Chiefs matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

Who Will Win: Bills vs. Chiefs

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Bills-Chiefs NFL matchup 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions for this week.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs a 55% chance of beating the Bills in Week 14 of the NFL season.

Today's Buffalo vs. Kansas City betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Bills vs. Chiefs Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bills	Chiefs
Spread	+1.5 (-112)	-1.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+104	-125
Total	o48.5 (-110)	u48.5 (-110)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

• The Chiefs are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Bills, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Bills (+1.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -112.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -125. That means you can risk $125 to win $100, for a total payout of $225, if they get the W.
• Meanwhile, FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at +104, where you can put down $100 to profit $104, earning a total payout of $204, if they win.
• The Over/Under is set at 48.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Bills vs. Chiefs

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best bets to place on this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Bills +1.5	-112
Moneyline	Chiefs	-125
Total	Under 48.5	-110

Our NFL best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on Buffalo vs. Kansas City to receive $150 in bonus bets, win or lose!

Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction

Our predicted final score for Buffalo vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 14 has the Chiefs winning 25-23.

According to our model, the Bills (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Under.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Bills vs. Chiefs.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Bills vs. Chiefs in Week 14, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs. Chiefs TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs. Chiefs? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bills and Chiefs this Sunday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Diggs an 8.8% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Bills WR is a 40.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Stefon Diggs	8.8%
James Cook	7.6%
Josh Allen	7.0%
Khalil Shakir	6.3%
Dalton Kincaid	5.1%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Travis Kelce	8.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	7.9%
Jerick McKinnon	6.9%
Rashee Rice	6.6%
Justin Watson	4.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Stefon Diggs	40.6%
James Cook	35.2%
Josh Allen	34.2%
Khalil Shakir	30.5%
Dalton Kincaid	25.7%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Travis Kelce	40.3%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	35.8%
Jerick McKinnon	32.8%
Rashee Rice	31.4%
Justin Watson	23.3%

Bills-Chiefs Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Bills and Chiefs, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Bills vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 236 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 295 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Josh Allen (BUF)	236 yds
Patrick Mahomes (KC)	295 yds

Bills Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
James Cook	58 yds
Latavius Murray	31 yds
Josh Allen	18 yds

Chiefs Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	52 yds
Patrick Mahomes	26 yds
Jerick McKinnon	17 yds

Bills Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Stefon Diggs	80 yds
Gabe Davis	54 yds
Dalton Kincaid	42 yds
Khalil Shakir	34 yds
James Cook	17 yds

Chiefs Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Travis Kelce	69 yds
Rashee Rice	50 yds
Justin Watson	37 yds
Skyy Moore	25 yds
Jerick McKinnon	24 yds

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Bills vs. Chiefs on Sunday December 10, 2023.

Bills vs. Chiefs Preview

The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Chiefs and Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday December 10, 2023
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

How to Bet on Bills vs. Chiefs

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL today? Check out the best sports betting sign-up offers in your state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Buffalo vs. Kansas City.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Bills vs. Chiefs game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Bills vs. Chiefs predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date on the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.