Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Early Predictions for NFL AFC Championship: Odds, Picks and Preview [2025]

The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills will face off against each other in the AFC Championship game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, January 26, 2025, starting at 6:30PM ET.

Early simulation results from Dimers' advanced NFL model favor the Chiefs as the most likely winner of this game.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Bills vs. Chiefs predictions page.

Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Championship Details

Sunday's game between the Chiefs and Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for January 26, 2025.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday, January 26, 2025
• Time: 6:30PM ET/3:30PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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Bills vs. Chiefs Latest Odds

We've researched the best betting odds in America for this AFC Championship game, detailed below:

• Spread: Bills +1.5 (-105), Chiefs -1.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Bills +110, Chiefs -125
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-105)

Buffalo vs. Kansas City Early Predictions

Leveraging powerful machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Bills vs. Chiefs game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Bills 46%, Chiefs 54%
• Predicted Final Score: Bills 22-23 Chiefs
• Spread: Bills (+1.5) 50%, Chiefs (-1.5) 50%
• Total Points (47.5): Over 46%, Under 54%

As of January 20, 2025, these Bills-Chiefs predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Here are our initial touchdown probabilities for the Bills-Chiefs matchup:

Buffalo Bills

• Josh Allen: 45.5% probability
• James Cook: 37.7% probability
• Khalil Shakir: 27.8% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Kareem Hunt: 38.0% probability
• Travis Kelce: 36.6% probability
• Xavier Worthy: 31.2% probability

Bills vs Chiefs Player Props

James Cook is projected to lead rushing for the Bills, while Kareem Hunt is expected to pace the Chiefs on the ground.

In the receiving game, our projections favor Buffalo's Khalil Shakir and Kansas City's Travis Kelce as the likely leaders for each team.

Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Bills on Sunday. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Bills vs. Chiefs game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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