Bills vs. Texans Prediction: Buffalo Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 5 [2024]

The Houston Texans will face the Buffalo Bills, in what is expected to be a tight NFL Week 5 game, at NRG Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bills as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bills-Texans game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bills with a win probability of 53%, while the Texans have 47%."

Bills vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 game between the Texans and Bills at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Texans and Bills gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Bills vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Bills vs. Texans Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Bills and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Bills a 53% chance of beating the Texans in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 24-23.

According to our model, the Texans (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Along with our Bills vs. Texans predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for this week's action:

• The Best NFL Week 5 Odds
• NFL Picks Straight Up for Week 5
• Picks Against The Spread for NFL Week 5

Bills vs. Texans Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bills	Texans
Spread	-1.5 (-102)	+1.5 (-120)
Moneyline	-110	+100
Total	o47.5 (-105)	u47.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bills vs. Texans Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Bills vs. Texans matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bills vs. Texans TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Texans?

According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first TD in Bills vs. Texans.

Our projections give Allen an 11.0% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 46.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Allen	11.0%
James Cook	9.2%
Khalil Shakir	5.4%

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Nico Collins	9.5%
Joe Mixon	8.3%
Stefon Diggs	7.5%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Allen	46.7%
James Cook	41.0%
Khalil Shakir	25.2%

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Nico Collins	43.1%
Joe Mixon	38.3%
Stefon Diggs	35.6%

Bills vs Texans Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bills and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bills-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.

Bills vs. Texans Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.

Bills Rushing

James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bills.

Player	Position
James Cook	RB
Josh Allen	QB
Ray Davis	RB

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, Dameon Pierce and C.J. Stroud are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Joe Mixon	RB
Dameon Pierce	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Bills Receiving

Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel and James Cook are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bills.

Player	Position
Khalil Shakir	WR
Dalton Kincaid	TE
Keon Coleman	WR
Curtis Samuel	WR
James Cook	RB

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz and Joe Mixon are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Stefon Diggs	WR
Tank Dell	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Joe Mixon	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Bills, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Texans in Week 5 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bills vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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