Bills vs. Texans Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 5 [2024]

The Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills will lock horns in Week 5 of the NFL season at NRG Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bills-Texans game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 54%, while the Bills have 46%."

Bills vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 action between the Texans and Bills at NRG Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Texans and Bills gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Bills vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Bills vs. Texans Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bills and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Texans a 54% chance of beating the Bills in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 24-23.

According to our model, the Texans (-1) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

In addition to our Bills vs. Texans predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 5
• NFL Player Props for Week 5
• Touchdown Predictions for Week 5

Bills vs. Texans Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bills	Texans
Spread	+1 (-110)	-1 (-110)
Moneyline	+104	-120
Total	o47.5 (-110)	u47.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bills vs. Texans Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Bills vs. Texans matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bills vs. Texans TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs. Texans?

According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Texans.

Our projections give Allen an 11.2% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 47.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Allen	11.2%
James Cook	9.4%
Dalton Kincaid	5.6%

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Nico Collins	9.8%
Cam Akers	8.1%
Stefon Diggs	8.1%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Allen	47.1%
James Cook	42.7%
Keon Coleman	26.0%

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Nico Collins	44.2%
Stefon Diggs	37.5%
Cam Akers	36.8%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 5 touchdown scorer predictions

Bills vs Texans Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bills and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bills-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.

Bills vs. Texans Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.

Bills Rushing

James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bills.

Player	Position
James Cook	RB
Josh Allen	QB
Ray Davis	RB

Texans Rushing

Cam Akers, J.J. Taylor and C.J. Stroud are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Cam Akers	RB
J.J. Taylor	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Bills Receiving

Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, Mack Hollins, Curtis Samuel and James Cook are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bills.

Player	Position
Dalton Kincaid	TE
Keon Coleman	WR
Mack Hollins	WR
Curtis Samuel	WR
James Cook	RB

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz and Dare Ogunbowale are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Stefon Diggs	WR
Tank Dell	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Dare Ogunbowale	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Bills in Week 5 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bills vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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