Bills vs. Ravens Prediction: Baltimore Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for SNF Week 4 [2024]

The Baltimore Ravens will take on the Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 4 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 8:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Ravens as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bills-Ravens game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Ravens with a win probability of 59%, while the Bills have 41%."

Bills vs. Ravens Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Ravens and Bills at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Ravens and Bills gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on NBC via Hulu or FuboTV

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Bills vs. Ravens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Ravens vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Bills vs. Ravens Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Bills and Ravens 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Ravens a 59% chance of defeating the Bills in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 25-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bills and Ravens each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

In addition to our Bills vs. Ravens predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 4
• NFL Player Props for Week 4
• Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Week 4

Bills vs. Ravens Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bills	Ravens
Spread	+2.5 (-102)	-2.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+120	-135
Total	o47.5 (-110)	u47.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bills vs. Ravens Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Bills vs. Ravens matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bills vs. Ravens TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Ravens?

According to our model, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 15.0% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens RB is a 58.0% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Allen	9.8%
James Cook	8.6%
Khalil Shakir	6.1%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Derrick Henry	15.0%
Lamar Jackson	7.8%
Zay Flowers	7.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Buffalo Bills

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Allen	42.8%
James Cook	38.6%
Khalil Shakir	28.3%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Derrick Henry	58.0%
Zay Flowers	36.7%
Lamar Jackson	34.8%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Bills vs Ravens Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bills and Ravens. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bills-Ravens page now to access every player prop projection.

Bills vs. Ravens Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to throw for more yards than the Ravens' Lamar Jackson.

Bills Rushing

James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bills.

Player	Position
James Cook	RB
Josh Allen	QB
Ray Davis	RB

Ravens Rushing

Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and Justice Hill are expected to lead the Ravens in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Derrick Henry	RB
Lamar Jackson	QB
Justice Hill	RB

Bills Receiving

Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel and James Cook are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bills.

Player	Position
Khalil Shakir	WR
Dalton Kincaid	TE
Keon Coleman	WR
Curtis Samuel	WR
James Cook	RB

Ravens Receiving

Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, Rashod Bateman and Justice Hill are projected to lead the Ravens in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Zay Flowers	WR
Mark Andrews	TE
Isaiah Likely	TE
Rashod Bateman	WR
Justice Hill	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Bills in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bills vs. Ravens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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