Buccaneers vs. Saints Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Buccaneers vs. Saints Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

The New Orleans Saints will square off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL Week 4 action at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Buccaneers vs. Saints, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

This Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has an outstanding Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Buccaneers vs. Saints

Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Buccaneers-Saints NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Saints a 65% chance of beating the Buccaneers in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Buccaneers vs. Saints Simulated 10,000 Times

Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds

  • Spread: Saints -4.5 (-110), Buccaneers +4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Saints -200, Buccaneers +190
  • Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-105)

The Saints are listed as -4.5 favorites versus the Buccaneers, with -110 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Buccaneers (+4.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Saints at -200. That means you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Buccaneers at +190, where you can put down $100 to profit $190, earning a total payout of $290, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 40.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Buccaneers (+4.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 40.5 points has a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Best Bets for Every NFL Matchup

Best Bets: Buccaneers vs. Saints

 

Our best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Saints are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Buccaneers moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers.com is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans at Caesars Superdome in Week 4 has the Saints winning 22-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Buccaneers-Saints game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Buccaneers vs. Saints Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Saints? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Buccaneers and Saints, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Rachaad White is most likely to score the first TD in Buccaneers vs. Saints.

DimersBOT gives White a 10.1% chance of getting in for six first at Caesars Superdome, while the Buccaneers RB is a 39.0% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Rachaad White: 10.1% probability
  • Mike Evans: 9.0% probability
  • Chris Godwin: 8.0% probability
  • Baker Mayfield: 5.3% probability
  • Cade Otton: 3.9% probability

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin Kamara: 9.6% probability
  • Chris Olave: 9.5% probability
  • Michael Thomas: 7.8% probability
  • Rashid Shaheed: 7.8% probability
  • Juwan Johnson: 4.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Rachaad White: 39.0% probability
  • Mike Evans: 36.4% probability
  • Chris Godwin: 32.4% probability
  • Baker Mayfield: 22.4% probability
  • Cade Otton: 16.8% probability

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin Kamara: 38.1% probability
  • Chris Olave: 37.6% probability
  • Rashid Shaheed: 32.8% probability
  • Michael Thomas: 32.1% probability
  • Juwan Johnson: 20.2% probability

Buccaneers-Saints Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected for 202 passing yards. The Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 224 yards.

Buccaneers Starting QB

  • Baker Mayfield: 202 projected yards

Saints Starting QB

  • Derek Carr: 224 projected yards

Buccaneers Rushing

  • Rachaad White: 50 projected yards
  • Sean Tucker: 17 projected yards
  • Baker Mayfield: 10 projected yards

Saints Rushing

  • Alvin Kamara: 49 projected yards
  • Kendre Miller: 20 projected yards
  • Taysom Hill: 14 projected yards

Buccaneers Receiving

  • Chris Godwin: 53 projected yards
  • Mike Evans: 52 projected yards
  • Cade Otton: 24 projected yards
  • Rachaad White: 22 projected yards
  • Deven Thompkins: 21 projected yards

Saints Receiving

  • Chris Olave: 70 projected yards
  • Michael Thomas: 55 projected yards
  • Rashid Shaheed: 35 projected yards
  • Juwan Johnson: 30 projected yards
  • Alvin Kamara: 28 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting insights before Buccaneers vs. Saints on Sunday October 1, 2023.

 

Buccaneers vs. Saints 2023

The NFL Week 4 action between the Saints and Buccaneers at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

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These fees help us keep Dimers free for all sports fans. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our legal sports betting partners, including DraftKings Sportsbook, where you get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans.

Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Buccaneers vs. Saints picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other NFL Games Are on Today?

The Buccaneers and Saints aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for every single NFL matchup via our NFL predictions. Not only do we provide with you quality predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NFL season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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