Browns vs. Falcons Week 4 Prediction and Odds - Oct 2, 2022
The Atlanta Falcons square off with the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 4 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' free betting picks for Browns vs. Falcons, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.
Today's Cleveland vs. Atlanta betting preview is proudly sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a tasty No Sweat First Bet deal up to $1,000 for new users.
Who will win Browns vs. Falcons?
Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Browns-Falcons NFL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Browns a 56% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 4 of the NFL season.
More: Browns vs. Falcons Simulated 10K Times
Browns vs. Falcons Current Odds
- Spread: Falcons +0.5 (-107), Browns -0.5 (-107)
- Moneyline: Falcons +100, Browns -107
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-105/-110)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Falcons are listed as +0.5 underdogs against the Browns, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.
For the favored Browns (-0.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on the market at -107.
DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +100, which means you can risk $100 to win $100, for a total payout of $200, if they get the W.
Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at -107, where you can risk $107 to win $100, for a total payout of $207, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.
As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Browns (-0.5) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 48.5 points is a 52% chance of going Under.
More: Best Free Bet Tracker
Best Bets for Browns vs. Falcons
- Spread: Browns -0.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (53% probability)
- Moneyline: Browns @ -107 via PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥
- Total: Under 48.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (52% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across all major pro and college sports.
Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time.
Browns vs. Falcons Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Cleveland vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 4 has the Browns winning 24-23.
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Browns-Falcons matchup in Week 4, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.
Browns vs. Falcons Player Props
Who will score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Falcons? The data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Browns and Falcons, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Cleveland's Nick Chubb is most likely to score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Falcons.
DimersBOT gives Chubb a 13.9% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Browns RB is a 56.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Cleveland Browns
- Nick Chubb: 13.9% probability
- Amari Cooper: 9.3% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 7.7% probability
- David Njoku: 5.6% probability
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 5.6% probability
Atlanta Falcons
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 12.2% probability
- Drake London: 8.1% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 6.6% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 6.3% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 5.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Cleveland Browns
- Nick Chubb: 56.4% probability
- Amari Cooper: 42.1% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 35.5% probability
- David Njoku: 27.5% probability
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 26.6% probability
Atlanta Falcons
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 51.1% probability
- Drake London: 36.3% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 30.9% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 30.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 23.9% probability
Browns-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 211 passing yards, while the Falcons' Marcus Mariota is expected to throw for 214 yards.
Browns Starting QB
- Jacoby Brissett: 211 projected yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Marcus Mariota: 214 projected yards
Browns Rushing
- Nick Chubb: 92 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 46 projected yards
- Jacoby Brissett: 11 projected yards
Falcons Rushing
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 59 projected yards
- Marcus Mariota: 41 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 31 projected yards
Browns Receiving
- Amari Cooper: 66 projected yards
- Donovan Peoples-Jones: 37 projected yards
- David Njoku: 35 projected yards
- David Bell: 28 projected yards
- Kareem Hunt: 24 projected yards
Falcons Receiving
- Drake London: 67 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 55 projected yards
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 28 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 28 projected yards
- KhaDarel Hodge: 22 projected yards
Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Browns vs. Falcons on Sunday October 2, 2022.
Browns vs. Falcons 2022
The NFL Week 4 action between the Falcons and Browns at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday October 2, 2022
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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