Browns vs. Commanders Week 17 Prediction and Odds - Jan 1, 2023

The Washington Commanders take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 17 action at FedExField on New Year's Day, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Browns vs. Commanders, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

Who will win Browns vs. Commanders?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Browns-Commanders NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Commanders a 54% chance of defeating the Browns in Week 17 of the NFL season.

More: Free Betting Guide for Browns vs. Commanders

Browns vs. Commanders Week 17 Odds

• Spread: Commanders -2.5 (-105), Browns +2.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Commanders -120, Browns +110
• Total: Over/Under 41 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Commanders are -2.5 favorites against the Browns, with -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Browns (+2.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -115.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at -120. That means you can risk $120 to win $100, for a total payout of $220, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at +110, where you can bet $100 to profit $110, earning a total payout of $210, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Browns (+2.5) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 41-point Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets for Browns vs. Commanders

• Spread: Browns +2.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Commanders @ -120 via BetMGM (54% probability)
• Total: Over 41 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (52% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and betting intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Browns vs. Commanders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Cleveland vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 17 has the Commanders winning 21-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Browns-Commanders matchup in Week 17, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Browns vs. Commanders Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Commanders? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Browns and Commanders, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Washington's Brian Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Commanders.

DimersBOT gives Robinson an 11.3% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Commanders RB is a 43.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Cleveland Browns

• Nick Chubb: 9.8% probability
• Deshaun Watson: 9.4% probability
• Amari Cooper: 7.8% probability
• Donovan Peoples-Jones: 6.1% probability
• David Njoku: 5.5% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 11.3% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 10.4% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 7.7% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 6.1% probability
• Logan Thomas: 4.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Cleveland Browns

• Nick Chubb: 39.1% probability
• Deshaun Watson: 37.4% probability
• Amari Cooper: 32.4% probability
• Donovan Peoples-Jones: 25.6% probability
• David Njoku: 23.0% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 43.6% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 39.0% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 32.3% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 25.9% probability
• Logan Thomas: 20.3% probability

Browns-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Deshaun Watson is projected for 228 passing yards. The Commanders' Carson Wentz is expected to throw for 241 yards.

Browns Starting QB

• Deshaun Watson: 228 projected yards

Commanders Starting QB

• Carson Wentz: 241 projected yards

Browns Rushing

• Nick Chubb: 101 projected yards
• Kareem Hunt: 19 projected yards
• Deshaun Watson: 19 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Brian Robinson: 68 projected yards
• Jonathan Williams: 22 projected yards
• Carson Wentz: 11 projected yards

Browns Receiving

• Amari Cooper: 64 projected yards
• Donovan Peoples-Jones: 49 projected yards
• David Njoku: 41 projected yards
• David Bell: 34 projected yards
• Kareem Hunt: 17 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 70 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 46 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 36 projected yards
• Logan Thomas: 27 projected yards
• Brian Robinson: 16 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis before Browns vs. Commanders on Sunday January 1, 2023.

Browns vs. Commanders 2023

The NFL Week 17 game between the Commanders and Browns at FedExField is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday January 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: FedExField

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What other NFL games are on today?

The Browns and Commanders aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for every single NFL matchup via our NFL Predictions section.

Not only do we provide with you quality predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out today!