Broncos vs. Chiefs Week 17 Prediction and Odds - Jan 1, 2023

The Kansas City Chiefs face the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 17 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on New Year's Day, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Broncos vs. Chiefs, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Who will win Broncos vs. Chiefs?

Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Broncos-Chiefs NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs an 88% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 17 of the NFL season.

More: Broncos vs. Chiefs Simulated 10K Times

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds

• Spread: Chiefs -12.5 (-110), Broncos +12.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -700, Broncos +570
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-118/-104)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Chiefs are -12.5 favorites against the Broncos, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Broncos (+12.5) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -700, which means you can risk $700 to win $100, for a total payout of $800, if they get the W.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Broncos at +570, where you can bet $100 to profit $570, earning a total payout of $670, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -118, as well as the best odds for the Under at -104.

As always, make sure you check all of the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Broncos and Chiefs are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Track Your Bets via Bet Center

Best Bets for Broncos vs. Chiefs

• Spread: Broncos +12.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Chiefs @ -700 via PointsBet (88% probability)
• Total: Under 45.5 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

Despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 45.5 is our best bet owing to the better odds (-104) that are available from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Denver vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 17 has the Chiefs winning 29-16.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Broncos-Chiefs matchup in Week 17, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Chiefs? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Broncos and Chiefs, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first TD in Broncos vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 13.0% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 51.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Denver Broncos

• Latavius Murray: 7.9% probability
• Jerry Jeudy: 6.9% probability
• Kendall Hinton: 6.1% probability
• Courtland Sutton: 5.2% probability
• Russell Wilson: 2.6% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 13.0% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 12.0% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 8.3% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 6.0% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 5.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Denver Broncos

• Latavius Murray: 36.8% probability
• Jerry Jeudy: 31.6% probability
• Kendall Hinton: 28.2% probability
• Courtland Sutton: 25.2% probability
• Russell Wilson: 13.3% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 51.1% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 48.5% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 37.1% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 27.8% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 23.1% probability

Broncos-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Russell Wilson is projected for 255 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 299 yards.

Broncos Starting QB

• Russell Wilson: 255 projected yards

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 299 projected yards

Broncos Rushing

• Latavius Murray: 85 projected yards
• Chase Edmonds: 16 projected yards
• Marlon Mack: 16 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Isiah Pacheco: 69 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 29 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 23 projected yards

Broncos Receiving

• Jerry Jeudy: 68 projected yards
• Courtland Sutton: 48 projected yards
• Kendall Hinton: 33 projected yards
• Chase Edmonds: 14 projected yards
• Eric Tomlinson: 13 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 88 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 67 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 40 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 31 projected yards
• Justin Watson: 17 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Broncos vs. Chiefs on Sunday January 1, 2023.

Broncos vs. Chiefs 2023

The NFL Week 17 action between the Chiefs and Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday January 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

The Broncos and Chiefs aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for each and every NFL game in our NFL Bet Hub page.

Not only do we provide with you top-notch predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!