Richmond Tigers vs. Brisbane Lions Prediction: Lions Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 4 Matchup [4/5/2025]

The Richmond Tigers and Brisbane Lions are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 1:15AM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Brisbane-Richmond game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lions are more likely to win, while the Tigers have a lower chance of victory."

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Lions vs. Tigers predictions page.

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Tigers vs. Lions Prediction: Who Will Win Round 4 Game?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Lions and Tigers 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lions a 95% chance of defeating the Tigers.

According to our model, the Tigers (+46.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 7:22AM, Apr 4

Moneyline

Spread

Over / Under

Lions

Win %

95%

5%

-3333

+1000

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See Matchup

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Tigers

Lions BRI

-3333

Win %

95%

5%

See Matchup

Tigers RIC

+1000

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Brisbane vs. Richmond Odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Tigers vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Tigers and Lions at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:15AM ET.

• Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Richmond Tigers
• Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
• Time: 1:15AM ET/10:15PM PT
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Lions vs. Tigers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Brisbane vs. Richmond picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 95% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lions vs. Tigers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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