Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [4/25/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Friday's Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians matchup.

Boston Red Sox-Cleveland Guardians Predictions and Game Preview.
Progressive Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Guardians this Friday.

The Cleveland Guardians and Boston redsox will lock horns in MLB action at Progressive Field on Friday, starting at 7:10PM ET.

Ben Lively (1-2, 3.86 ERA) will get the ball for the Guardians, while the Red Sox have opted for Tanner Houck (0-2, 7.66 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Boston-Cleveland game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Red Sox' chance of winning is 51%, while the Guardians' is 49%."

For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Red Sox vs. Guardians predictions page.

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Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Red Sox a 51% chance of beating the Guardians.

According to our model, the Guardians (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 9:28PM, Apr 25
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Red Sox
Win %
51%
49%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Guardians
Red Sox BOS
Win %
51%
49%
See Matchup
Guardians CLE
Tanner Houck 0-2, 7.66 ERA
Ben Lively 1-2, 3.86 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds [4/25/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Red Sox Guardians
Run Line -1.5 (+150) +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline -108 -108
Total o9 (-102) u9 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Red Sox vs. Guardians Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Red Sox vs. Guardians matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Guardians and Red Sox at Progressive Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Red Sox vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Boston vs. Cleveland picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Guardians on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Sox vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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