Red Sox vs. Orioles Early Prediction: Baltimore Predicted to Win Thursday's MLB Matchup [4/3/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles matchup.

Boston Red Sox-Baltimore Orioles Predictions and Game Preview.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles this Thursday.

MLB action continues on Thursday at 1:05PM ET as the Boston Red Sox lock horns with the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Charlie Morton (0-1, 10.80 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Orioles, while the Red Sox will counter with Tanner Houck (0-1, 6.35 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Orioles as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Boston-Baltimore game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Orioles with a win probability of 55% and the Red Sox with 45%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions page.

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Red Sox vs. Red Sox Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Orioles 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Orioles a 55% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:27PM, Apr 3
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Red Sox
Win %
48%
52%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Orioles
Red Sox BOS
Win %
48%
52%
See Matchup
Orioles BAL
Tanner Houck 0-1, 6.35 ERA
Charlie Morton 0-1, 10.80 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds [4/3/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Red Sox Orioles
Run Line +1.5 (-190) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +110 -125
Total o9.5 (-102) u9.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB game between the Orioles and Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 1:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Boston vs. Baltimore picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Sox vs. Orioles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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