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Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [3/8/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Boston Bruins in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 3:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Boston-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lightning are more likely to win, while the Bruins have a lower chance of victory."
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bruins vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Bruins and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 66% chance of beating the Bruins.
According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Bruins vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bruins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-108) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -295 |
| Total | o5.5 (-122) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our model's strongest edge in today's Bruins vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Bruins-Lightning Pick Get Dimers Pro Bruins vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Bruins vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Boston's David Pastrnak is most likely to score the first goal in Bruins vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Pastrnak a 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Bruins star is a 50.6% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Boston Bruins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 10.8% |
| Morgan Geekie | 6.8% |
| Elias Lindholm | 4.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.6% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.0% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.9% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Boston Bruins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 50.6% |
| Morgan Geekie | 32.0% |
| Elias Lindholm | 24.3% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 38.6% |
| Jake Guentzel | 35.1% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 35.0% |
Bruins vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's game between the Lightning and Bruins at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Saturday, March 8, 2025
- Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Bruins vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Boston vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bruins vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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