Bills vs. Patriots Prediction, Week 7 Odds, NFL Player Props [2023]

The New England Patriots will face the favored Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 7 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' prediction for Sunday's Bills vs. Patriots game, as well as the latest odds and our comprehensive game preview, are detailed below.

Today's Buffalo vs. New England prediction is presented by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Who Will Win: Bills vs. Patriots

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Bills-Patriots NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bills an 80% chance of getting the W against the Patriots in Week 7 of the NFL season.

More: Bills vs. Patriots Simulated 10K Times

Bills vs. Patriots Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Patriots +7.5 (-108), Bills -7.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Patriots +310, Bills -395
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-105/-115)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

The Patriots are +7.5 underdogs versus the Bills, with -108 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Bills (-7.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +310. That means you can bet $100 to profit $310, earning a total payout of $410, if they win.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -395, where you can risk $395 to win $100, for a total payout of $495, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 41.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -115.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bills (-7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Under.

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More: Predictions for Every NFL Matchup

Best Bets: Bills vs. Patriots

• Spread: Bills -7.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (56% probability)
• Moneyline: Bills @ -395 via DraftKings Sportsbook (80% probability)
• Total: Under 41.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting intelligence to help you make more informed investments with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

Bills vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Buffalo vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 7 has the Bills prevailing 24-16.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Bills vs. Patriots game in Week 7, including pregame predictions, the best NFL picks, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs. Patriots? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bills and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Diggs an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Bills WR is a 42.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 11.7% probability
• Josh Allen: 10.4% probability
• Gabe Davis: 8.9% probability
• James Cook: 8.8% probability
• Latavius Murray: 5.0% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 7.5% probability
• Ezekiel Elliott: 6.6% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 5.0% probability
• Hunter Henry: 4.9% probability
• Demario Douglas: 3.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 42.4% probability
• Josh Allen: 39.4% probability
• Gabe Davis: 34.7% probability
• James Cook: 34.2% probability
• Latavius Murray: 20.3% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 31.8% probability
• Ezekiel Elliott: 27.8% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 21.9% probability
• Hunter Henry: 21.2% probability
• Demario Douglas: 16.0% probability

Bills-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 228 passing yards, while the Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for just 177 yards.

Bills Starting QB

• Josh Allen: 228 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 177 projected yards

Bills Rushing

• James Cook: 53 projected yards
• Josh Allen: 27 projected yards
• Latavius Murray: 20 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 51 projected yards
• Ezekiel Elliott: 31 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 9 projected yards

Bills Receiving

• Stefon Diggs: 81 projected yards
• Gabe Davis: 61 projected yards
• Dawson Knox: 26 projected yards
• Dalton Kincaid: 25 projected yards
• Deonte Harty: 21 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Kendrick Bourne: 48 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 30 projected yards
• Demario Douglas: 29 projected yards
• DeVante Parker: 25 projected yards
• Mike Gesicki: 16 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights before Bills vs. Patriots on Sunday October 22, 2023.

Bills vs. Patriots Preview

The NFL Week 7 action between the Patriots and Bills at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday October 22, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

How to Bet on Bills vs. Patriots

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Conclusion

This comprehensive NFL preview centers around our Bills vs. Patriots prediction and Week 7 odds.

Dimers' picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Bills vs. Patriots predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Predictions Like This?

So, you liked our Bills vs. Patriots betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News page has a comprehensive betting preview for every NFL game the second the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets. This allows us to create the most accurate NFL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every single day of the NFL season.