Bills vs. Commanders Week 3 Prediction and Odds - September 24, 2023

The Washington Commanders will take on the favored Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 3 action at FedExField on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Bills vs. Commanders, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Today's Buffalo vs. Washington betting analysis is brought to you by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Who Will Win: Bills vs. Commanders

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Bills-Commanders NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bills a 62% chance of winning against the Commanders in Week 3 of the NFL season.

More: Bills vs. Commanders Simulated 10K Times

Bills vs. Commanders Odds

• Spread: Commanders +5.5 (-105), Bills -5.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Commanders +205, Bills -225
• Total: Over/Under 44 (-110/-105)

The Commanders are currently +5.5 underdogs versus the Bills, with -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Bills (-5.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -104.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +205, which means you can bet $100 to profit $205, earning a total payout of $305, if they win.

On the other hand, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -225, where you can risk $225 to win $100, for a total payout of $325, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 44 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (+5.5) have a 62% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 44 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets: Bills vs. Commanders

• Spread: Commanders +5.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook (62% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Commanders @ +205 via DraftKings Sportsbook (4.7% edge) 🔥
• Total: Under 44 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (50% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best free picks today across all sports.

Our best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Bills are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Commanders moneyline is the best option due to the 4.7% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Bills vs. Commanders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Buffalo vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 3 has the Bills prevailing 23-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Bills-Commanders game in Week 3, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs. Commanders Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs. Commanders? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bills and Commanders, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Commanders.

DimersBOT gives Diggs a 9.6% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Bills WR is a 38.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 9.6% probability
• Gabe Davis: 8.4% probability
• Josh Allen: 8.1% probability
• James Cook: 7.1% probability
• Damien Harris: 5.5% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 9.5% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 5.7% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 5.5% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 4.6% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 4.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 38.8% probability
• Josh Allen: 33.8% probability
• Gabe Davis: 33.5% probability
• James Cook: 29.2% probability
• Damien Harris: 23.9% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 40.6% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 25.3% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 24.9% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 21.0% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 19.7% probability

Bills-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 244 passing yards, while the Commanders' Sam Howell is expected to throw for 204 yards.

Bills Starting QB

• Josh Allen: 244 projected yards

Commanders Starting QB

• Sam Howell: 204 projected yards

Bills Rushing

• James Cook: 66 projected yards
• Josh Allen: 39 projected yards
• Damien Harris: 36 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Brian Robinson: 62 projected yards
• Sam Howell: 18 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 15 projected yards

Bills Receiving

• Stefon Diggs: 79 projected yards
• Gabe Davis: 51 projected yards
• Dalton Kincaid: 31 projected yards
• Deonte Harty: 26 projected yards
• Dawson Knox: 25 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 66 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 47 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 29 projected yards
• John Bates: 27 projected yards
• Cole Turner: 17 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Bills vs. Commanders on Sunday September 24, 2023.

Bills vs. Commanders 2023

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Commanders and Bills at FedExField is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: FedExField

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Bills vs. Commanders picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other NFL Games Are on Today?

The Bills and Commanders aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for each and every NFL matchup via our NFL predictions. Not only do we provide with you first-class predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every single day of the NFL season.