Betting Guide for Game 5 of Mavericks vs. Warriors in the 2022 NBA Western Conference Finals

Game 5 of the 2022 NBA Western Conference Finals are Thursday night with the Golden State Warriors looking to finish off the Dallas Mavericks and secure a sixth trip to the NBA Finals in the last eight years.

A leaky roof nor seven Warriors scoring in double figures could end the 2021-22 campaign for the Dallas Mavericks, who avoided a sweep in the Western Conference Finals with a 119-109 victory Tuesday night. 

But the Mavs still need three more wins to stop Golden State from reaching the NBA Finals for the sixth time in eight seasons.  

The series shifts back to the Bay Area, where the Warriors roared back from a 19-point deficit to win Game 2 after blowing out Dallas by 25 in Game 1. 

Dimers.com basketball analyst Tony Bellissimo breaks down the betting lines.

Game 5: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors

NBA Western Conference Finals

Thursday May 26 2022, 9PM

Why the favorite Warriors will cover

The Warriors (-7) want no part of another flight to Dallas and would love nothing more than to sit back and watch Boston and Miami go the distance in the East and wait for their Finals opponent. Golden State sent a message with a late push in Game 4 and outscored the Mavs by a 68-45 margin in the second half of its last home game.

Why the underdog Mavericks will cover

Dallas (+7) is fighting for its season and showed it can deliver in desperation mode not only a few nights ago against the Warriors but in a pair of elimination games against defending conference champion Phoenix.  

Luka Doncic will do everything in his power to give the Mavs a chance. He has led them in scoring in eight straight and has posted 42, 40 and 32 points over the last three after sputtering with just 20 in Game 1.

DimersBOT Prediction: Mavericks to cover (53% probability)

Luka Doncic’s career elimination games:

➡️ 2020 vs. LAC: 38-9-9
➡️ 2021 vs. LAC: 46-7-14
➡️ 2022 vs. PHX: 33-11-8
➡️ 2022 vs. PHX: 35-10-4

💥 Last night vs. GSW: 30-14-9pic.twitter.com/7gllRhcIE6

— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) May 25, 2022

Why Warriors vs. Mavericks will go Over the 215.5 total points line

There’s been no consistency to the totals in the series thus far, with Games 1 and 3 staying under and Games 2 and 4 producing the over.  

Expect neither team to let off the gas. The Mavs are on the brink of elimination and have come up big offensively in each of the three games they’ve been in this same spot, scoring 113 and 123 against the Suns and 119 a few nights ago. 

DimersBOT Prediction: Over (52% probability)

Why Warriors vs Mavericks will stay Under the 215.5 total points line 

The trend so far has been secondary scoring for both sides beyond Doncic and Steph Curry. Klay Thompson has yet to hit 20 points in any game in the series to back Curry, while Dallas’ ignition switch off the bench, Spencer Dinwiddie, has been hit or miss throughout the postseason.  

The X-Factor: Reggie Bullock, Dallas Guard 

With the minutes he’s getting — no fewer than 36 in any of the first four games in the series — Bullock must produce like he did Tuesday night and also in Game 2 when he scored 18 and 21 points, respectively on a combined 12-for-21 shooting. He was 0-for-10 in 40 minutes of court time in Game 3. 

DimersBOT Prediction: Bullock 10 pts, 4 rebs, 2 asst

🏀 Projected Mavericks vs. Warriors Game 5 box score
✍️ Betting Preview: Mavericks vs. Warriors Game 5