Best NFL Prop Picks to Parlay Today - Thanksgiving Day

Thanksgiving Day has arrived and with it, we get a beautiful three-game NFL slate. We've used our model's predictive analytics to isolate the props you need to be betting on in each game today. You can even lotto them up to +xxxx odds and bet it no-sweat at DraftKings!

Don't forget to check out our best NFL bets, our NFL prop picks and best parlay picks for all of your wagers today. Our model is constantly sourcing the best odds and finding the strongest edges throughout the day so there's always value to be found on site.

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For example, DraftKings is giving out $150 in bonus bets for any new user who signs up and bets just their first $5, as well as no-sweat tokens to use every day. Don't sleep on these ways to pad your bankroll and hit the offer below to cash in.

NFL Prop Picks Today - Thursday, November 23

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions - 12:30PM ET

BET: Christian Watson (GB) Under 43.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Packers WR Christian Watson gets a 74% probability to go under his receiving line against the Lions according to our model. His odds of -115 imply just a 53.5% chance, giving us a huge 20% edge in the odds. Watson has only cleared this mark one time all season, with Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs commanding a bit more of Jordan Love's attention this season.

BET: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Over 3.5 Receptions (-140)

Lions rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs is coming more and more into his own as the season rolls along and even though Dan Campbell continues to use David Montgomery in a heavy usage role, Gibbs is a magnet for targets out of the backfield. He's seen 5+ targets in his last five games, hauling in at least four in all but one of those games. He gets a 67% probability from DimersBOT clear this number again and that gives us an 8.3% edge in the odds.

Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys - 4:30PM ET

BET: Tony Pollard (DAL) Over 2.5 Receptions (-160)

Another running back who racks up catches out of the backfield, Tony Pollard has hit this mark in all but three games this year. He has just two games without at least 3 targets and it's no coincidence that two of them were in absolute blowouts over the New York Giants. Now this game could see blowout potential since the Commanders aren't exactly a quality team, but we trust his role. Our model identifies a 63.2% probability to record at least 3 receptions, good enough for a 9.7% edge against the book.

BET: Brandin Cooks (DAL) Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

An offseason acquisition by Dallas, the go-to WR2 role hasn't quite materialized for Cooks, but he's still been a solid contributor to this offense. He's hit this mark in three of his last four games and it would be four of five but he went a half-yard under once. He's had at least one reception over 20 yards in each of those games he hit this mark and the Commanders have the third-worst pass defense in the league as far as yards allowed and have let at least three opposing players clear this mark in five of their last six games. DimersBOT projects a 57.6% probability of Cooks clearing the Over, giving us a 4.1% edge.

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks - 8:20 PM ET

BET: Zach Charbonnet Under 55.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

Working as the complementary backup to Ken Walker, Charbonnet has yet to hit this mark this season. He came close in Week 8 with 53 rush yards, ironically against a Browns defense that has been one of the best. Walker is questionable for this week and though Seattle has said he's not an IR candidate, his status is up in the air. Either way, the 49ers allow the third-fewest rushing yards per game in the NFL and we don't even know if Pete Carroll will give Charbonnet true workhorse duties if Walker sits. Plus, he gets a lot of work as a receiver and we don't expect that role to change, even if he gets additional carries. DimersBOT gives Charbonnet a 60% probability of going under this mark.

BET: Brock Purdy Over 250.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The 49ers quarterback has only gone under this number once since Week 2 and that was in a rainy, dismantling loss to the Browns. Since then, he hasn't gone under and has cleared 300+ yards twice. With Christian McCaffery's work as a receiver out of the backfield, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel's insane ability to rack up yards after the catch and Brandon Aiyuk as a deep threat, Purdy has no shortage of weapons and options in the offense. Our model projects Purdy for 273 yards in this one with a 58% probability to go over with a 4.4% edge in the odds.

+3034 NFL Thanksgiving Props Parlay Lotto

Take these six props and play them individually, or roll them together into a big lotto ticket that you can bet no-sweat at DraftKings.

All odds correct at time of publishing.

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.