Best NBA Props Today - Bet on These Assists with Dimers Signals - Thursday, December 12

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We put every effort into ensuring information on Dimers is accurate. But double-check details that matter to you before making any wager.

We're utilizing our newest addition to the Dimers Pro suite, 'Dimers Signals' to identify the best NBA Prop picks every day.

NBA Prop Picks, Best NBA Bets, NBA Predictions
We've identified the top assists point props in the NBA on Thursday, December 12

After two nights of NBA Cup action, we're back to regular-season games tonight, though with just three on the NBA schedule.

We've got the Pistons vs. Celtics, Raptors vs. Heat and Kings vs. Pelicans in play and we're looking to cash in with our best NBA prop picks by using our brand-new Dimers Pro feature, Dimers Signals.

Introducing: Dimers Signals

An evolution of our Dimers Pro Best Bets and Best Props based off of valuable user feedback, Dimers Signals represents a leap forward in personalized betting insights. Our team of experts has developed a series of unique identifiers that make it easier than ever to find the bets that resonate with you.

Whether you're into player props or team bets, Dimers Signals streamlines our advanced predictive model into user-friendly categories, ensuring you can make smarter, faster decisions.

You can learn more about Dimers Signals in our expanded guide and unlock access to Dimers Signals and our full suite of Dimers Pro tools for less than $1/day!


Best NBA Props Today from Dimers Signals - Dime Droppers

Today's featured Dimers Signal is Dime Droppers.

The Dime Dropper category focuses on players likely to dish out more assists than the sportsbook line suggests. If you see a player with high assist potential and favorable odds, Dimers Signals will point it out as a +EV opportunity, giving you an edge when making your wagers.

Let's break down each of today's top three Dime Droppers props.

1. Domantas Sabonis Over 5.5 Assists (-105)

Game: Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Probability: 66.7%
Edge: 15.5%

Our first Dime Dropper of the day is an old friend of the DimersBOT, Kings big man Domantas Sabonis. He's cashed his assists over for us a bunch this season, including helping us nab a triple double (worth a look at +800 tonight).

Sabonis is averaging 6.2 dimes per game this season, clearing this in 4 of his L6 games, and he gets a 66.7% probability do so again tonight. He's averaging 8.6 potential assist per game this season, which is up to 9.7 over his recent play. Based on our projection of 8.8 assists, he's also worth a look at some plus-money alternate lines, but our official play is on his over of 5.5.

NBA, NBA Bets, NBA Props, Kings, Domantas Sabonis
Our top assist prop is on Domantas Sabonis.

2. Malik Monk Over 5.5 Assists (+126)

Game: Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Probability: 55.20%
Edge: 10.9%

Next up is Sabonis' teammate Malik Monk, who's seen his passing game take a leap over the past few weeks. Though he's averaging 4.5 assists per game this year, that's up to 6.4 through five games in December. He's had at least 6 assists in 5 of his past 7 games, with at least 9 in three of those games. 

New Orleans is allowing 5.6 AST/game to opposing shooting guards, third-worst in the league. DimersBOT projects Monk for 6.4 tonight with a 10.9% edge, also identifying Monk as High Value signal. The Pelicans have one of the weakest defenses in the NBA and tonight's total is set for 231.5, meaning scoring could be high, leading to more assist opportunities.

NBA, NBA Bets, NBA Props, Malik Monk, Kings

Our assist projections for Malik Monk.

3. Jimmy Butler Over 4.5 Assists (-105)

Game: Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Probability: 60.2%
Edge: 9.0%

Our final Dime Dropper is on potential trade target Jimmy Butler when the Heat take on the Raptors. Butler gets a 60.2% probability to clear his line, the second-highest on an assists prop tonight. his projection of 6.3 suggests he'll clear this by more than a full assist.

He's cleared 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games and is actually averaging 9.8 potential assists per game according to NBA.com and the Raptors own a neutral defense against assists from SF. Though he doesn't get a High Valuesignal, we're still getting an edge of 9.0% against his odds of -105, presenting a profitable opportunity.

NBA, NBA Bets, NBA Props, Heat, Jimmy Butler
Our projections for Jimmy Butler vs. the Raptors.

Recap: Today's Best NBA Props and Parlay Picks

PLAYER
PROP
PROBABILITY
ODDS
Domantas Sabonis (Kings)Over 5.5 AST
66.7%
-105
Malik Monk (Kings)
Over 5.5 AST55.2%
+126
Jimmy Butler (Heat)
Over 4.5 AST
60.2%
-105


Alternatively, you could play these three NBA props together in a parlay that comes out to +817 odds, turning these picks into a potential major payout, though playing all three picks together comes with increased risk.

 

Dimers' NBA Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season


Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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