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Best NBA Props Today - Bet on These Assists with Dimers Signals - Thursday, December 12
We're utilizing our newest addition to the Dimers Pro suite, 'Dimers Signals' to identify the best NBA Prop picks every day.
After two nights of NBA Cup action, we're back to regular-season games tonight, though with just three on the NBA schedule.
We've got the Pistons vs. Celtics, Raptors vs. Heat and Kings vs. Pelicans in play and we're looking to cash in with our best NBA prop picks by using our brand-new Dimers Pro feature, Dimers Signals.
Introducing: Dimers Signals
An evolution of our Dimers Pro Best Bets and Best Props based off of valuable user feedback, Dimers Signals represents a leap forward in personalized betting insights. Our team of experts has developed a series of unique identifiers that make it easier than ever to find the bets that resonate with you.
Whether you're into player props or team bets, Dimers Signals streamlines our advanced predictive model into user-friendly categories, ensuring you can make smarter, faster decisions.
You can learn more about Dimers Signals in our expanded guide and unlock access to Dimers Signals and our full suite of Dimers Pro tools for less than $1/day!
Best NBA Props Today from Dimers Signals - Dime Droppers
Today's featured Dimers Signal is Dime Droppers.
The Dime Dropper category focuses on players likely to dish out more assists than the sportsbook line suggests. If you see a player with high assist potential and favorable odds, Dimers Signals will point it out as a +EV opportunity, giving you an edge when making your wagers.
Let's break down each of today's top three Dime Droppers props.
1. Domantas Sabonis Over 5.5 Assists (-105)
Game: Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Probability: 66.7%
Edge: 15.5%
Our first Dime Dropper of the day is an old friend of the DimersBOT, Kings big man Domantas Sabonis. He's cashed his assists over for us a bunch this season, including helping us nab a triple double (worth a look at +800 tonight).
Sabonis is averaging 6.2 dimes per game this season, clearing this in 4 of his L6 games, and he gets a 66.7% probability do so again tonight. He's averaging 8.6 potential assist per game this season, which is up to 9.7 over his recent play. Based on our projection of 8.8 assists, he's also worth a look at some plus-money alternate lines, but our official play is on his over of 5.5.
2. Malik Monk Over 5.5 Assists (+126)
Game: Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Probability: 55.20%
Edge: 10.9%
Next up is Sabonis' teammate Malik Monk, who's seen his passing game take a leap over the past few weeks. Though he's averaging 4.5 assists per game this year, that's up to 6.4 through five games in December. He's had at least 6 assists in 5 of his past 7 games, with at least 9 in three of those games.
New Orleans is allowing 5.6 AST/game to opposing shooting guards, third-worst in the league. DimersBOT projects Monk for 6.4 tonight with a 10.9% edge, also identifying Monk as High Value signal. The Pelicans have one of the weakest defenses in the NBA and tonight's total is set for 231.5, meaning scoring could be high, leading to more assist opportunities.
3. Jimmy Butler Over 4.5 Assists (-105)
Game: Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Probability: 60.2%
Edge: 9.0%
Our final Dime Dropper is on potential trade target Jimmy Butler when the Heat take on the Raptors. Butler gets a 60.2% probability to clear his line, the second-highest on an assists prop tonight. his projection of 6.3 suggests he'll clear this by more than a full assist.
He's cleared 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games and is actually averaging 9.8 potential assists per game according to NBA.com and the Raptors own a neutral defense against assists from SF. Though he doesn't get a High Valuesignal, we're still getting an edge of 9.0% against his odds of -105, presenting a profitable opportunity.
Recap: Today's Best NBA Props and Parlay Picks
PLAYER | PROP | PROBABILITY | ODDS |
---|---|---|---|
Domantas Sabonis (Kings) | Over 5.5 AST | 66.7% | -105 |
Malik Monk (Kings) | Over 5.5 AST | 55.2% | +126 |
Jimmy Butler (Heat) | Over 4.5 AST | 60.2% | -105 |
Alternatively, you could play these three NBA props together in a parlay that comes out to +817 odds, turning these picks into a potential major payout, though playing all three picks together comes with increased risk.
Dimers' NBA Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season
- NBA Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every game, every day
- NBA Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game of the postseason
- Championship Odds: Who will be crowned the champion in 2024?
- NBA Best Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- NBA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
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