Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlay - Wednesday May 17, 2023

Dimers.com is teaming up with Calling Our Shot for the year to provide bettors with the very best MLB picks from the COS crew, sourced from the Dimers' MLB Best Bets page to deliver our best MLB parlay of the day. Every week from Monday to Friday, Austin and Logan from Calling Our Shot will be using the power of our predictive analytics models to find their best plays at the ballpark, combining them into a three-leg parlay. Read on for the team's full analysis of our MLB parlay for Wednesday, May 17.

MORE: Dimers.com's MLB Best Bets for Wednesday

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MLB Best Bet Parlay For Wednesday, May 17

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Diamondbacks/Athletics Alt. Total Under 11.5 Runs	-265
Mets +1.5	-182
Mariners/Red Sox Alt. Total Under 11.5 Runs	-235

PARLAY BUILDER: Generate an MLB props lotto parlay with our AI Parlay Picker tool

Wednesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics, 3:38 PM ET

LEG 1: Under 11.5 Runs (-265) with DraftKings

We’ve cashed two straight parlays to start the week. Let’s make it 3! We start with an earlier start in this Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Game.

If you watched our Daily YouTube video, you’d know we are big fans of the regular UNDER in this game set to 9/9.5. The DimersBOT loves this one too giving the UNDER 9 a 3.6% edge, one of the bigger edges on the board.

While we aren’t taking the regular UNDER 9 here, we are giving ourselves some extra wiggle room at this 11.5. These teams combined for 17 runs last night in an Extra Inning Thriller.

That game went on until 2AM ET (11PM local). They now have a quick turn around at 12:30PM local time. It would not surprise me if the bats are sleepy and slow to start here.

Nelson & Medina aren’t the best pitchers in the world, but they don’t have to be great to keep us UNDER 11.5. We just need them to be ‘okay’ and I am confident they can do just that.

Both bullpens will give up run opportunities, but I am confident in this line to stay under 11.5 when it is all said and done.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets, 7:11 PM ET

LEG 2: Mets +1.5 (-182) with DraftKings

In our daily picks, we mentioned we like the Mets to win outright. This pick is a safer version of that play and gives us a one-run buffer if they don’t win.

Kodai Senga was ambushed in his last start at Cincinnati. The good news for us is that he returns home where he has a 1.59 ERA on the year. 

The Rays are a juggernaut offense hitting .290 in their last three games but they might struggle against Senga today. When teams face a pitcher they’ve never seen before, the advantage is for the pitcher at least in the first few times through the order.

We know the Mets have been terrible offensively this year. They face a pitcher they should be able to hit today in Josh Fleming. Fleming enters with a 4.26 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.

At the end of the day, we believe the line in this game is baiting the public hard to back the Rays. We take the emotions out of that and are backing the Mets to get a much needed win today.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox, 7:11 PM ET

LEG 3: Under 11.5 Runs (-235) with DraftKings

On surface level, these two pitchers don’t jump out as guys you want to take an under with. This is actually a decent spot for an alternate under and the public being all over the over in this game is what we like to see. 

Brayan Bello has had a few solid outings. He hasn’t given up more than two earned runs in his last three starts.

Seattle is 23rd in batting average and 17th in OPS on the road. It isn’t crazy to think this streaky Mariners offense might struggle against Bello today.

Marco Gonzales gets the start for Seattle. Gonzales enters with a 4.42 ERA and that reflects how up and down Marco can be.

Gonzales gets a decent matchup today with the Red Sox. Not because Boston isn’t a great offense at Fenway, but because they’re nothing special when it comes to hitting lefties.

Boston is 15th in batting average and 16th in OPS vs lefties. If Marco can limit the walks, he should be in line for a good showing today and help keep this total under 11.5 runs.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Wednesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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