Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlay - Wednesday April 12, 2023

Dimers.com is teaming up with Calling Our Shot for the year to provide bettors with the very best MLB picks from the COS crew, sourced from the Dimers' MLB Best Bets page to deliver our best MLB parlay of the day. Every week from Monday to Friday, Austin and Logan from Calling Our Shot will be using the power of our predictive analytics models to find their best plays at the ballpark, combining them into a three-leg parlay. Read on for the team's full analysis of our MLB parlay for Wednesday, April 12.

MORE: Dimers.com's +1686 Home Run Parlay for Wednesday

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MLB Best Bet Parlay For Wednesday, April 12

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Padres/Mets Over 8.5 Runs	-110
Cardinals Team Total Over 7.5 Runs	-105
Marlins/Phillies Under 8.5 Runs	-120

PARLAY BUILDER: Generate Parlays with our AI Parlay Picker tool

Wednesday MLB Parlay Analysis

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets, 1:10 PM ET

LEG 1: OVER 8.5 Runs (-140) with DraftKings

Yesterday, we saw a very low scoring game between these two teams. The fact that the line jumped to 8.5 should tell us a lot. 

For the Mets, Tylor Megill gets the start. Megill has been great through two games this year. He enters with a 1.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. 

The Padres are a very plate-disciplined team and will certainly make Megill work late into counts. San Diego is 9th in walks drawn and 7th best in strikeouts. There are a lot of extra base hit and run opportunities for talented hitters like Cronenworth, Machado and Soto. 

The Padres turn to Blake Snell for this game. Blake Snell is doing what Blake Snell does, which is starting the season off slow.

Snell is rocking a 7.88 ERA and a 2.13 WHIP through two games this season. The Mets should have their way with Snell considering how many free base runners he puts on via walk.

Both starting pitchers present many pathways for us to cash the over. Early start time, let’s get one leg down!

⚾️ Padres vs. Mets Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Padres vs. Mets

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St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies, 3:10 PM ET

LEG 2: Cardinals Team Total Over 7.5 Runs (-110) with DraftKings

The Cardinals are facing the easiest pitcher to fade of all time. If you’ve been following Calling Our Shot for a few seasons, betting against Jose Urena has made us so much money.

There aren’t any redeeming qualities about Urena’s game. He enters this game with a 14.40 ERA and 3.80 WHIP. Those stats are real for a MLB pitcher.

Urena puts runners on via walk. He puts runners on via extra base hit. This team total is insanely high. It’s high for a reason though. 

Against Urena, Goldschmidt, Edman and Arenado all have at least one career home run. In a ballpark like Coors Field, missed locations are no-doubt homers. 

Once Urena inevitably comes out, the Rockies bullpen is still not good. They’re 24th best in bullpen ERA, and the Cardinals should have a lot of run opportunities late as well.

⚾️ Cardinals vs. Rockies Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Cardinals vs. Rockies

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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies, 4:05 PM ET

LEG 3: UNDER 8.5 Runs (-120) with DraftKings

Yesterday, our third and final was the one that hurt us. We needed Mike Trout to get us one hit, that’s all, and he did not come through. Today, we bounce back.

With legs one & two being ‘overs’, it only feels right to target an under in this spot.

These two teams scored 18 runs on Monday, 12 runs on Tuesday, let’s hope they score six runs today! I feel like both of these offenses are due a little regression & I like the pitchers we have on the mound.

Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies. He enters with a 5.59 ERA & 1.66 WHIP. This will be his third start of the season so he’s had some innings to knock off the winter rust.

In Wheeler’s last start vs. Miami, he went six Innings Pitched, only allowing one ER via the home run. This Marlins offense is fully capable of putting up a goose egg. I’ve seen it before. They are capable of those 1-2 run type games, and I believe Wheeler can hold it down.

Edward Cabrera will start for Miami. Cabrera enters with a 5.40 ERA & 2.25 WHIP. He’s pitched 6.2 Innings and walked 13 batters. That has to be close to a record. If he can dial down on the walks, he’d be fine.

Lucky for him, the Phillies have drawn the 3rd fewest walks this season. This team is swinging early & often. Cabrera has the pitches to sit down some of these batters. He’s struggled with location through two starts, but I imagine he’s worked hard to dial that in for his 3rd start.

Cabrera’s last two starts vs. PHI: 5.1 IP, 2 ER and 5.2 IP, 0 ER. He’s had success vs. these bats in the past. I am confident he can keep that success going.

Both bullpens are average. There will be run opportunities late, but scoring nine runs isn’t easy.

If this line drops to eight, which it is certain to do, I am still good with it there. Expecting six runs or less tonight from these two ball clubs.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Wednesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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