Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlay - Thursday April 6, 2023

Dimers.com is teaming up with Calling Our Shot for the year to provide bettors with the very best MLB picks from the COS crew, sourced from the Dimers' MLB Best Bets page to deliver our best MLB parlay of the day. Every week from Monday to Friday, Austin and Logan from Calling Our Shot will be using the power of our predictive analytics models to find their best plays at the ballpark, combining them into a three-leg parlay. Read on for the team's full analysis of our MLB parlay for Thursday, April 6.

MORE: Dimers.com MLB Best Bets Page

If you haven't already, sign up for DraftKings ➡️ here ⬅️ as you can turn a $5 pre-game moneyline bet on any game into $150 in bonus bets if your team wins. It is by far the best promo out there to bet baseball this Spring.

MLB Best Bet Parlay For Thursday, April 6

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Royals +1.5	+105
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) To Record A Hit	-250
Padres/Braves Over 7.5 Runs	-120

PARLAY BUILDER: Generate Parlays with our AI Parlay Picker tool

Thursday MLB Parlay Analysis

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals, 2:10 PM ET

LEG 1: Royals +1.5 (+105) with DraftKings

DimersBOT gives us a 5.2% edge on the Royals to cover the runline today. We love this spot against the Blue Jays, especially against Gausman. 

Kevin Gausman was great in his 2023 debut with six innings pitched and zero earned runs allowed. The last time Gausman faced the Royals in 2022, he allowed seven hits and gave up two earned runs.

This Royals offense is capable of getting hits despite them being dead last in batting average. There are several young hitters in this lineup like Witt Jr., Lopez and Pasquantino that are full of hidden offensive talent. 

Jordan Lyles got touched up in his starts against Toronto last year. He allowed multiple home runs in all three starts against the Jays last year.

The encouraging sign for Lyles was his first start of 2023 going 5.1 innings and only allowing one earned run. Lyles looked sharp in this outing against Minnesota, which we expect to translate to another quality home start against the Jays.

⚾️ Blue Jays vs. Royals Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Blue Jays vs. Royals

---

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox, 2:10 PM ET

LEG 2: Andrew Benintendi (CWS) To Record A Hit (-250) with DraftKings

If you’re looking for a consistent hitter that is just trying to get on base and not hit only home runs, look no further than Mr. Benintendi. This is what he does.

On the season, Benintendi has a hit in five of six games. He’s coming off a two-hit performance vs. the Giants yesterday, and all we need is one today!

Benintendi will face Alex Wood, the starter for the Giants. Andrew is 1-5 lifetime vs. Wood. While that isn’t great, it could be worse.

There’s firepower right behind Benintendi in the White Sox lineup. Pitchers can’t afford to walk him and put him on base. Andrew should continue to see hittable pitches every at bat.

Andrew hit .269 vs. Left Handed Pitchers last season, a very serviceable average. All we need is one hit, something I am very confident he can get done.

Andrew will see at least four plate appearances today. That should be enough to get at least one hit, maybe even two if you’re looking for better value.

Don’t let us down today, Andrew.

⚾️ Giants vs. White Sox Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Guardians vs. Athletics

---

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves, 7:20 PM ET

LEG 3: OVER 7.5 Runs (-120) with DraftKings

This is one of the biggest games on the slate. Two teams that enter the season with World Series aspirations. We could see them matchup in the postseason, but that’s six months away, so let’s worry about something else.

We worry today about scoring eight runs combined. Blake Snell will start for the Padres. In his first start vs. the Rockies, he allowed 3 ER in 4.1 IP. Today, he finds himself on the road.

Snell has historically struggled on the road, and he is prone to walking guys. That’s not a great recipe for success against a hard hitting (but plate disciplined) Braves team. I am confident the Braves can get their runs up on Snell.

Pitching for Atlanta will be Spencer Strider. Strider is an elite young pitcher. He has great stuff. Him & his mustache are going to throw the ball, and throw it very fast and make several Padres hitters look silly.

But, Strider can miss his location. He’s not perfect. We’ve seen games where Strider gets hit early and often.

In his first start of the season, he threw six scoreless innings vs. the Nationals. The Padres have more talented bats than the Nats. I am confident they can make life difficult on Strider, run up his pitch count and get him out of the game.

There will be run opportunities late in this game via the bullpens. Eight runs is not asking for a lot if we can get some production against the starting pitchers.

The DimersBOT is giving us a 5.4% edge, and I’ll be honest, that doesn’t feel like enough. Go get us eight runs, Padres & Braves.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Thursday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Calling Our Shot on YouTube