Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlay - Thursday April 13, 2023

Dimers.com is teaming up with Calling Our Shot for the year to provide bettors with the very best MLB picks from the COS crew, sourced from the Dimers' MLB Best Bets page to deliver our best MLB parlay of the day. Every week from Monday to Friday, Austin and Logan from Calling Our Shot will be using the power of our predictive analytics models to find their best plays at the ballpark, combining them into a three-leg parlay. Read on for the team's full analysis of our MLB parlay for Thursday, April 13.

MORE: Dimers.com's MLB Best Bets for Thursday

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MLB Best Bet Parlay For Thursday, April 13

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Red Sox +1.5	-110
Twins +0.5 First 5 Innings	-130
Alec Burleson To Record a Hit	-240

PARLAY BUILDER: Generate Parlays with our AI Parlay Picker tool

Thursday MLB Parlay Analysis

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays, 1:11 PM ET

LEG 1: Red Sox +1.5 (-110) with DraftKings

We’re brave enough to stand in front of the buzz-saw that is the Tampa Bay Rays. The Red Sox came so close to covering the run line last night, and I believe this afternoon they finally get it done.

For starters, even people who don’t know baseball know the run the Rays are on is insane. To start the season 12-0 is very impressive in a sport where the bottom teams beat the best teams all of the time. 

With an early start time today, I think Boston is fully capable of catching the Rays sleep walking. The public is also very heavy on Rays once again, so you know we love a good public fade.

Kluber is starting for Boston today and enters with a 6.48 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. I’m not going to pretend those numbers are good but we’ve seen the savvy veteran have good/bad performances all of last year. Where was he pitching? In Tampa Bay. 

We don’t need Kluber to be perfect, but we need the Red Sox bats to show up and get runs up on Jeffrey Springs. Springs has been flawless this year with a 0.00 ERA and 0.54 WHIP. 

On the season, the Red Sox are hitting a respectable .246 against lefties. If you’ve bet on baseball, you know that +1.5 runline is advantageous for road teams. In a close game or walk-off scenario, the home team usually wins by only one.

⚾️ Red Sox vs. Rays Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Red Sox vs Rays

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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees, 7:05 PM ET

LEG 2: Twins +0.5 First 5 Innings (-130) with DraftKings

If you’re new to betting baseball, I’ll break down this bet. Some books like to list the First 5 as the First Half, those are the same thing. In order to cash this leg of the parlay, we need the Minnesota Twins to either be leading after five innings, OR be tied after five innings.

Either method of victory works for me.

I only trust Minnesota because they have their ace, Joe Ryan, on the mound. He’s had a great start to the year. Ryan is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA & 0.75 WHIP.

He has the putaway pitches: 16 strikeouts in 12 Innings Pitched. This Yankees roster loves to swing for the fences. Ryan has the talent to hold a talented Yankees lineup in check through five innings.

Jhony Brito has had a great start to his season too. Brito is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA & 0.80 WHIP. He’s been about as good as the Yankees could have hoped for.

This is his rookie season, so a short 2 game sample size doesn’t mean he’s an ace by any stretch of the imagination. The Twins have batters that can make you pay if you miss your spots.

Brito wasn’t able to miss many bats in his last start, only 2 K’s in five innings. We aren’t asking for Brito to give up six runs, but if the Twins can get a couple runs up on him, Joe Ryan should be able to hold it down on the other side and get us to cash this leg of the parlay.

⚾️ Twins vs. Yankees Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Twins vs. Yankees

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals, 7:45 PM ET

LEG 3: Alec Burleson To Record a Hit (-240) with DraftKings

The DimersBOT loves Alec Burleson today, and so do I. The DimersBot is giving this a 4.6% edge, and honestly, I feel like it should be a 46% edge, the bot is just being modest.

Burleson is not a household name, which is what I like to target for hit props. Mike Trout, arguably the best hitter in the MLB, has hurt me too many times to count and we are only 11 games into the season.

Burleson is batting .300 on the year. He’s consistent. Alec has a hit in seven straight games. He’s not flashy, a lot of singles which is all we need today.

Burleson typically bats in the two -slot for the Cardinals. This is usually right before Goldschmidt and Arenado. Pitchers are afraid of those 2 guys coming up so Burleson will get pitches to hit.

You can’t afford to put a guy on base via a walk with the Cardinals two best hitters up next. So, Burleson sees pitches to hit, and he should see plenty vs. the Pirates starter, Vince Velasquez.

Velazquez has allowed 11 hits in 7.1 Innings this season. He’s rocking a 9.82 ERA. He’s prone to walking batters, but as I said above, Burleson is not the batter to walk. Only three walks to his name this season.

Burleson will have the green light. His mission is to get on base and I think he does that today with a solid one hit. If you’re feeling spicy, 2+ hits might be on the horizon.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Thursday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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