Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlay - Monday July 3, 2023

Dimers.com is teaming up with Calling Our Shot for the year to provide bettors with the very best MLB picks from the COS crew, sourced from the Dimers' MLB Best Bets page to deliver our best MLB parlay of the day. Every week, Austin and Logan from Calling Our Shot will be using the power of our predictive analytics models to find their best plays at the ballpark, combining them into a three-leg parlay. Read on for the team's full analysis of our MLB parlay for Monday, July 3.

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MLB Best Bet Parlay For Monday, July 3

Monday MLB Parlay Analysis

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals, 6:06 PM ET

LEG 1: Lane Thomas 1+ Hit (-250) with DraftKings

The first leg of our hit parlay takes us to Washington. We need Lane Thomas to get a hit off of the Reds and Luke Weaver today.

As a pitcher, Luke Weaver is the closest thing to batting practice that there is. Weaver has given up 6+ hits in five out of his last six starts. 

When Weaver gets hit, it usually comes in a hit parade. Since Thomas usually bats at the top of the lineup, that means a lot of plate appearances especially with the total set at 10.5. 

At home, Lane Thomas is hitting a stellar .311. Facing a pitcher that should get hit around today, Lane will have his opportunities for sure.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins, 6:41 PM ET

LEG 2: Luis Arraez to Record 1+ Hit (-350) with DraftKings

The next leg of this hit parlay is trusting one of the best hitters in the game right now. Yes, we’re talking about Luis Arraez.

Arraez and the Marlins face Mikolas and the Cardinals today. Mikolas has been an up and down starter this year but he's certainly given up his fair share of hits and runs. 

Mikolas has given up 7+ hits in five straight starts. Batting at the top of the lineup, Arraez should get plenty of opportunities for a hit. 

At home, Arraez is hitting a ridiculous .430. Any given night, he’s a “set it and forget it” parlay piece to get a hit. That’s what we’re asking from him tonight.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians, 7:11 PM ET

LEG 3: Ronald Acuna Jr 1+ Hit (-350) with DraftKings

The last leg of this +140 Parlay involves one of the best hitters this season to get the job done.

Acuna is batting .336 on the season. He’s currently on a 12 game hit streak. Let’s hope he pushes that to 13 today.

But, Acuna is so reliable. The Braves are also on the road, so Acuna (who bats in the 1-spot) will be guaranteed four plate appearances (barring a Shane Bieber Perfect Game) with the potential for 5+.

Bieber is in the 78th Percentile in Walk Percentage. I love seeing that because a concern with betting on Acuna is him drawing walks. Although, if I were a pitcher, I’d rather make him get a hit than walk him on base given he can steal a base at a moment’s notice.

I really like Ronald today. Take us home and deliver us the W.

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*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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