Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlay - Monday April 3, 2023

With the 2023 MLB season now well underway, Dimers.com is excited to announce that we're teaming up with Calling Our Shot for the year to provide bettors with the very best MLB picks from the COS crew, sourced from the Dimers' MLB Best Bets page to deliver our best MLB parlay of the day. Every week from Monday to Friday, Austin and Logan from Calling Our Shot will be using the power of our predictive analytics models to find their best plays at the ballpark, combining them into a three-leg parlay. Read on for the team's full analysis of our MLB parlay for Monday, April 3.

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MLB Best Bet Parlay For Monday, April 3

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Nationals +1.5	-110
Pirates/Red Sox Under 9.5 Runs	-115
Royals +1.5	-140

PARLAY BUILDER: Generate Parlays with our AI Parlay Picker tool

Monday MLB Parlay Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Washington Nationals, 7:05 PM ET

LEG 1: Nationals +1.5 (-110) with DraftKings

The Nationals are one of my favorite underdogs today, and the DimersBOT agrees, giving this leg a 3.4% Edge. While I could be bold and predict a Nationals win for better value, I’ll play it safe in case the Nationals want to lose by one run.

The Nationals are coming off an impressive 4-1 victory vs. the Braves on Sunday, and I am hoping they continue that momentum into today’s matchup vs. the Rays.

The Rays are a formidable foe, entering this game 3-0. However, playing the Tigers in an opening series is a true blessing from the schedule makers. Today, the Rays will play their first road game, so I like fading them.

The Rays were 51-30 at home last season, but only 35-46 on the road. Drew Rasmussen will start for Tampa Bay. He saw his ERA increase from 2.24 ERA to 3.49 on the road. This Nationals roster has talented young hitters. I am confident they can get to Rasmussen.

Trevor Williams will start for the Nationals. Last year, he had a 2.65 ERA at home. He pitched for the Mets then, but I expect him to be dialled in. The Nationals bullpen is capable of keeping the Rays in check.

I like the Nationals to potentially pull off the upset today, but I will take the +1.5 for safety. Let’s hope the DimersBot & I can get this first leg checked off the parlay!

⚾️ Rays vs. Nationals Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Rays vs. Nationals

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox, 7:10 PM ET

LEG 2: Under 9.5 Runs (-115) with DraftKings

If you were to continuously bet the Red Sox game under this season, you’d be down 3 straight games. To pick and under as a leg in this parlay seems crazy, but it’s actually not. 

For starters, Fenway isn’t Coors field. This line is an overreaction to what the Red Sox did in their previous series vs Baltimore. Bad pitching and great hitting on both sides is what made those games soar over. 

Today, the Red Sox host the Pirates and Pittsburgh is far from the offense Baltimore was. On the season, the Pirates are 26th in batting average hitting just .196 as a team. 

Kutter Crawford shouldn’t be mistaken as an ace, but his 4.50 ERA at home last year is something we can work with. The Pirates might have run opportunities, but they struggle to convert those into runs. 

Johan Oviedo gets the start for the Pirates today. Oviedo had a 3.19 ERA on the road last season which is more than comfortable for today. If Oviedo can command his pitches today and not allow hitters to reach via the walk, we’ll be in great shape to cash this under.

⚾️ Pirates vs. Red Sox Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Pirates vs. Red Sox

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals, 7:40 PM ET

LEG 3: Royals +1.5 (-140) with DraftKings

DimersBOT finds an edge for the Royals on the runline, which is great because we already took them on the moneyline in our MLB Best Bets video. Doubling down on the runline feels like a safety net for an underdog that we already feel could win outright.

The Royals offense has been abysmal to start the season. However, there are a few encouraging signs for Kansas City, and it starts with how they finished yesterday’s game. 

The Royals were able to finally score runs late in yesterday’s game, after being shutout the previous two games. That, combined with the fact that the Royals look to avoid an 0-4 start, I expect some desperation out of the home team today. 

The Royals face Jose Berrios. Berrios really struggled on the road last season with a 6.36 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. The Blue Jays are also 18th in bullpen ERA, so there should be run opportunities early and late. 

Brady Singer gets the start for the Royals. He was great at home in 2022 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He’ll need to duplicate those numbers today against a very formidable Toronto offense.

Against St. Louis, Toronto hit a .299 average as a team. A change of scenery to a pitcher-friendly ballpark is just what we need today to hold down that offense. In a lower scoring ballgame, the +1.5 runline has a ton of appeal.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Monday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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