Best Home Run Props - Our Dinger Tuesday Picks for Every MLB Game on April 16

The 2024 MLB season rolls on as we're into the second week of action. FanDuel is already cooking with one of the best promos of the year, Dinger Tuesday.

If you're unfamiliar, Dinger Tuesday is a weekly promo run by FanDuel centered around home runs on, you guessed it, Tuesdays in MLB.

Here's the basics: Bet minimum $25 on any player to hit a home run in any game, and you'll get $5 in bonus bets for each home run hit by any player in the game, up to $25 total. Win or lose, too, so no matter if the player you bet on to hit a home run succeeds or not, you'll still get the bonus bets.

You can read our full breakdown of Dinger Tuesday strategy here.

In this weekly article, we'll highlight the #1 Dinger Tuesday pick in each game. If we have a value play, that's the one we'll go with. If our model detects no Home Run value in a game, we'll highlight our most likely home run hitter.

If you're a limited Dinger Tuesday bettor (learn here), then you'll ideally want to target the games with the highest overs or worst pitchers.

Every Home Run Prop with Dimers Pro

With Dimers Pro, you'll have access to every home run prop on Dimers.com every single day, sometimes exceeding 50 home run props on full slates. These props will always come with an edge against the books, meaning they're ideal targets for your Dinger Tuesday prop picks.

For a limited time, enjoy 20% off a full year of unlimited access to Dimers with an annual Dimers Pro subscription. Use promo code DIMERS20 when you subscribe now!

Dimers Pro gives you access to everything Dimers has to offer right now and in the future, including our full list of today’s best bets and our cutting-edge Parlay Picker.

Dinger Tuesday Best Bets - April 16, 2024

Below you will find our Dinger Tuesday pick for each MLB game today. These will be based purely on the DimersBOT projections; we encourage you to double-check lineups, weather reports and other important factors closer to gametime. Additionally, our edges are calculated against the best odds available, which may not be the same on FanDuel, though we will include their FanDuel odds below.

With the Rangers vs. Tigers game getting underway in the early afternoon, we'll be looking at the other 14 games today.

Dimers Pro users can sort by home run props here and search for only the highest probabilities if they want to skip right to picking home run props.

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles - 6:35PM ET

Best HR Bet: Ryan Mountcastle (+560 on FanDuel)

The Orioles' slugger is our highest probability HR hitter in this game at 20.1% which already makes him a strong play, plus he draws an edge of 8.3% against his best odds of +750 on bet365.

⚾ Full Twins vs. Orioles Preview

San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins - 6:40PM ET

Best HR Bet: Jesus Sanchez (+750 on FanDuel)

When the Marlins host the Giants in Miami this evening, DimersBOT projects outfielder Jesus Sanchez with a 15.2% probability to go yard, making his fair price around +550, so there's value everywhere!

⚾ Full Giants vs. Marlins Preview

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 6:40PM ET

Best HR Bet: Kyle Schwarber (+265 on FanDuel)

Those odds certainly aren't the most appealing but Schwarber draws an excellent matchup against the baseball tee that is Austin Gomber, and at a 30.1% probability, he's one of the highest projected home run hitters in all of tonight's MLB slate.

⚾ Full Rockies vs. Phillies Preview

Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays- 6:50 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Isaac Paredes (+520 on FanDuel)

One of our model's favorites this year, Isaac Paredes is our strongest HR hitter in this game, as well as the best edge, drawing a significant value of 8.2% against his best odds of +575 on BetMGM and we get close to that on FanDuel.

⚾ Full Angels vs. Rays Preview

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 7:07 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Juan Soto (+430 on FanDuel)

The Yankees' newest addition to the offense is off to a hot start and we're looking for him to get even hotter with his fourth home run of the year. At a 20.2% probability, Soto offers more than a fair price at +430 odds.

⚾ Full Yankees vs. Blue Jays Preview

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox - 7:10PM ET

Best HR Bet: Triston Casas (+540 on FanDuel)

The Red Sox electric second-year slugger has been heating up with three home runs in his past six games. His odds on FanDuel are actually even better than other books, so his 20.5% probability is too good to pass up in this game.

⚾ Full Guardians vs. Red Sox Preview

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets - 7:10PM ET

Best HR Bet: Oneil Cruz (+630 on FanDuel)

What better way to shake off back-to-back hitless games than with a Cruz missile out of Citi Field? A fascinating multi-tool player with elite strength gets a 14.7% probability to leave the yard tonight, giving us a small edge of 2.2% against his best price of +700 at bet365.

⚾ Full Pirates vs. Mets Preview

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 7:40PM ET

Best HR Bet: Manny Machado (+400 on FanDuel)

Machado gets a 19.7% probability to hit a home run out of American Family Field on Tuesday night, which would make his fair price right in line with what we're getting at FanDuel.

⚾ Full Padres vs. Brewers Preview

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - 7:45 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Hunter Renfroe (+480 on FanDuel)

The journeyman outfielder is looking for his second home urn of the night and gets a White Sox pitcher making his MLB debut in Jonathan Cannon (hopefully he doesn't have one of those). DimersBOT gives Renfroe a 16.8% probability to leave the park and his odds of +480 are just about in line.

⚾ Full White Sox vs. Royals Preview

Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros - 8:10 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Yainer Diaz (+400 on FanDuel)

The Astros are sending Hunter Brown to the mound tonight after he was unable to get out of the first inning, giving up 9 runs in his last outing. As such, it's tough to find value on the Braves tonight so DimersBOT has found the best value in Houston's backstop to hit a home run with a 22.1% probability.

⚾ Full Braves vs. Astros Preview

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 9:40 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Christian Walker (+420 on FanDuel)

Christian didn't come through for our Round Robin on Saturday night but we can give him another chance to dong one for us on Dinger Tuesday. He gets a 23.8% probability to go yard, putting his fair price at +320, presenting clear value.

⚾ Full Cubs vs. D-Backs Preview

Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners - 9:40PM ET

Best HR Bet:  N/A

DimersBOT is currently pulling in no value or props worth betting in this game but we will update if one presents itself throughout the day!

⚾ Full Reds vs. Mariners Preview

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Oakland Athletics - 9:40 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Shea Langliers (+560 on FanDuel)

Owner of a three-HR game this season, the A's catcher gets a strong 18.2% probability of hitting his fifth home run of the season tonight which would make his fair odds of +450, presenting clear value against one of last year's best HR targets, Lance Lynn.

⚾ Full Cardinals vs. Athletics Preview

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 10:10 PM ET

Best HR Bet: N/A

As of publishing, we have no HR props in this game because the Dodgers have not yet named a starter. However, with Patrick Corbin on the mound for the Nationals, everyone on L.A. draws a great matchup tonight.

Do the Extra Research

The best way to use Dimers Pro is alongside the wealth of MLB statistics out there. Weather, pitch types, ballparks...these are just a handful of the factors that can weigh into home run props. 

With dozens of props available on Dimers Pro, it's always good to check on these other data points to help you narrow down which bets to make.

Best Home Run Props Today

Dimers Pro users are getting a healthy dose of opportunities for the Dinger Tuesday this week with dozens of home run props available this morning.

If you're an +EV hunter, you'll want Dimers Pro to access every single home run prop here.

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