Best Home Run Props - Our Dinger Tuesday Picks for Every MLB Game

The 2024 MLB season rolls on as we're into the second week of action. FanDuel is already cooking with one of the best promos of the year, Dinger Tuesday.

If you're unfamiliar, Dinger Tuesday is a weekly promo run by FanDuel centered around home runs on, you guessed it, Tuesdays in MLB.

Here's the basics: Bet minimum $25 on any player to hit a home run in any game, and you'll get $5 in bonus bets for each home run hit by any player in the game, up to $25 total. Win or lose, too, so no matter if the player you bet on to hit a home run succeeds or not, you'll still get the bonus bets.

You can read our full breakdown of Dinger Tuesday strategy here.

Get HR Props Every Day: Get over 50 +EV HR props for Tuesday

In this weekly article, we'll highlight the #1 Dinger Tuesday pick in each game. If we have a value play, that's the one we'll go with. If our model detects no Home Run value in a game, we'll highlight our most likely home run hitter.

If you're a limited Dinger Tuesday bettor (learn here), then you'll ideally want to target the games with the highest overs or worst pitchers.

With Dimers Pro, you'll have access to every home run prop on Dimers.com every single day, sometimes exceeding 50 home run props on full slates. These props will always come with an edge against the books, meaning they're ideal targets for your Dinger Tuesday prop picks.

Dinger Tuesday Best Bets - April 9, 2024

Below you will find our Dinger Tuesday pick for each MLB game today. These will be based purely on the DimersBOT projections; we encourage you to double-check lineups, weather reports and other important factors closer to gametime. Additionally, our edges are calculated against the best odds available, which may not be the same on FanDuel, though we will include their FanDuel odds below.

With the Pirates-Tigers game getting underway in the early afternoon, we'll be looking at just the other 14 games today.

Dimers Pro users can sort by home run props here and search for only the highest probabilities if they want to skip right to picking home run props.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox - 2:10PM ET

Best HR Bet: Triston Casas (+750 on FanDuel)

The second-year infielder for the Red Sox gets a 15.1% probability to hit a home run in Fenway Park this afternoon. That draws a 6.4% edge against his best odds available at +1050 on BetMGM.

⚾ Full Orioles vs. Red Sox Preview

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - 6:10PM ET

Best HR Bet: Josh Naylor (+400 on FanDuel)

Guardians first baseman Josh Naylor is our model's most-likely home run hitter in this game, however we do not detect any value plays, making him our model's top pick in this AL Central clash.

⚾ Full White Sox vs. Guardians Preview

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - 6:40PM ET

Best HR Bet: Nick Martini (+450 on FanDuel)

Nick Martini clubbed a pair of opening-day home runs for the Reds but his chasing his first since. He gets great value with his best overall odds of +700 on bet365, where you'll find him with a 5.1% edge.

⚾ Full Brewers vs. Reds Preview

Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees - 7:05 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Juan Soto (+430 on FanDuel)

Soto hammered his first homer in the Yankee pinstripes last night and our model favors him to do it once again. He gets a hefty 25% HR probability, making his fair odds +300, meaning there's value no matter where you play him.

⚾ Full Marlins vs. Yankees Preview

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 7:07 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Cal Raleigh (+360 on FanDuel)

We can find Cal Raleigh as our model's most likely home run hitter when the Mariners travel East to Rogers Centre. You won't find any edge plays in this game, but Raleigh's FanDuel odds are slightly above other books so you're getting one of the better prices.

⚾ Full Mariners vs. Blue Jays Preview

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves - 7:20PM ET

Best HR Bet: Austin Riley (+390 on FanDuel)

Though you'll really find the value in his odds of +550 at BetMGM, DimersBOT loves a bet on Austin Riley tonight with his 25% probability to go yard against the Braves' AL East rival Mets.

⚾ Full Mets vs. Braves Preview

Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals - 7:40PM ET

Best HR Bet: Yainer Diaz (+560 on FanDuel)

The Astros' backstop gets our model's best value for a dinger in this game, earning a 6.0% edge against his odds of +725 at BetMGM. There's still value in his +560 odds at FanDuel given his 18.1% probability, however.

⚾ Full Astros vs. Royals Preview

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins - 7:40PM ET

Best HR Bet: Mookie Betts (+400 on FanDuel)

In a four-way tie as the early home run king, Mookie Betts is almost always a play if you get odds like these. At a 20.8% probability to go yard, FanDuel is giving us a fair price on a star player, at much more appealing odds than Shohei Ohtani's +265.

⚾ Full Dodgers vs. Twins Preview

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7:45 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Kyle Schwarber (+340 on FanDuel)

With no value in this game, we give the Phillies slugger a beefy 22% home run probability as the most likely home run hitter. This falls right in line with his odds of +340 on FanDuel so he's a fair play.

⚾ Full Phillies vs. Cardinals Preview

Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers - 8:05 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Corey Seager (+400 on FanDuel)

Texas Rangers stud Corey Seager draws DimersBOT's highest home run probability at 23% in this AL West contest. Even better? We get some value in his odds, as his odds imply just a 20% chance!

⚾ Full Athletics vs. Rangers Preview

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies - 8:40 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Corbin Carroll (+470 on FanDuel)

Though he hit 25 dingers last season, reigning NL Rookie of the Year Corbin Carroll is off to a slow start in the Home Run Department in 2024. Can he get his first in the lofty confines of Coors Field? DimersBOT likes his chances with a 22.9% probability against his odds of +470 that imply a 17.5% probability.

⚾ Full D-Backs vs. Rockies Preview

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels - 9:38PM ET

Best HR Bet:  Isaac Paredes (+540 on FanDuel)

Paredes gets nearly a 20% home run probability (19.6%) and some great odds of +540 on FanDuel, revealing a 4.0% edge. These are better odds than some other books, too.

⚾ Full Rays vs. Angels Preview

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants - 9:45 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Jorge Soler (+390 on FanDuel)

At 25.1%, Jorge Soler gets not only the highest HR probability in this game, but he comes with a 4.3% edge which is a top 15 value play amongst all of our home run props.

⚾ Full Nationals vs. Giants Preview

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres - 10:05 PM ET

Best HR Bet: Luis Campusano (+700 on FanDuel)

The long edge play in this game, Padres young catcher Luis Campusano gets a modest 13.7% probability to hit a home run in the nightcap and a small edge of 2.2%. He's got an .866 OPS and one dinger to start the year and our model thinks it's just a matter of time before the home runs start to fall.

⚾ Full Cubs vs. Padres Preview

Do the Extra Research

The best way to use Dimers Pro is alongside the wealth of MLB statistics out there. Weather, pitch types, ballparks...these are just a handful of the factors that can weigh into home run props. 

With dozens of props available on Dimers Pro, it's always good to check on these other data points to help you narrow down which bets to make.

Best Home Run Props Today

Dimers Pro users are getting a healthy dose of opportunities for the Dinger Tuesday this week with as many as 61 home run props available this morning.

If you're an +EV hunter, you'll want Dimers Pro to access over 50 home run props here.

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