Best College Football Bets: Three Underdogs to Bet on in Week 3

The college football season rolls into Week 3 and we're looking at which teams are best positioned for an upset win with our "Dogs of the Day" article.

Each week, we'll highlight three underdogs that our model not only likes to cover the spread, but also to win outright at plus money. We've seen strong results through the first two weeks and we're looking to keep that going.

RELATED: Our Week 3 College Football Parlay

These picks will come straight from our Dimers Pro College Football Best Bets, a part of our subscription service that grants you access to every single bet on our site for every sport, every single day. You'll also get unlimited access to our player projections, Parlay Picker and Trends tools and of course, an invite to the Dimers Pro VIP Discord where we are cashing tickets like crazy, including one user who turned just $10 into over $13,000 this week.

Dimers' Early-Season College Football Success

As mentioned, it's been a strong start to the college football season for Dimers, especially if you are a Dimers Pro.

We post our Top 5 CFB bets and props each game day in our Dimers pro VIP Discord, as well as our "Dogs of the Day" on Saturdays.

Since the season began, we're up 6.23 units on our bets and props and up 5.09 units on our underdog picks. That means a $100 bettor is up over $1100 just by riding our straight picks though the first two weeks!

We post recaps each day and track all our results for complete transparency, so you can see for yourself that we're finding plenty of success in the early days of the season.

Don't miss out the rest of the year - join Dimers Pro for less than $1/day and start cashing with us!

Dimers CFB Underdogs are off to a strong start.

Our Best College Football Underdog Picks in Week 3

Pick 1: South Carolina Win vs. LSU (+220)

The Gamecocks host the LSU Tigers as they bring a 2-0 record into this homestand with a No. 16 ranked LSU squad who are looking to string together some wins after a Week 1 loss to a different USC.

As 6.5-point underdogs, South Carolina draws a 41.5% win probability against LSU. Our projected average final score is 27-24 in favor of the Tigers, but that still means we see the Gamecocks emerging victorious in over 40% of our game simulations. 

They're a great play to cover at a 57% probability, especially if you can get them at any price of -130 or better, which shouldn't be very difficult to find, but we see a big edge in the upset. Our model's projected fair odds for this game would be just +138 for a South Carolina win, presenting nearly a full unit's worth of value against their odds of +220.

Best prop in this game: G. Nussmeier (LSU) Under 295.5 Passing Yards (-114)

🏈 LSU vs. South Carolina Full Game Betting Preview

Pick 2: Florida International  Win vs. Florida Atlantic (+170)

The next team that's got that dog in 'em, we're looking at Florida International (FIU) to beat their in-state counterpart, Florida Atlantic (FAU).

FIU is 1-1 to start the year, putting up a mammoth 52 points in Week 1 vs. Central Michigan before losing 31-7 in a drubbing at the hands of Indiana last week. FAU is off to an 0-2 start, though they've managed to limit opponents to just 40 total points so far while mustering just 17 across two games.

FIU gets the nod from DimersBOT with a 47.2% win probability as 5.5-point underdogs. Our average final score has FIU losing by just 1, making them a very strong upset play, especially considering their 65% probability to cover the spread. 

We say FIU shouldn't be any shorter than +110, identifying a 10.1% edge in their moneyline odds.

Best prop in this game: N/A

🏈 Florida International @ Florida Atlantic Full Game Betting Preview

Pick 3: Miami OH Win vs. Cincinnati (+152)

Our final Dog of the Day is the battle for the Victory Bell, as we look at the Miami of the north to pick up their first win of 2024 against the Cincinnati Bearcats, who are 1-1 to start the season.

If you just looked at the boxscores, you might think Cincinnati should be favored by even more, considering Miami mustered just 6 points in their season opener, but we have this one much closer, giving 3.5-point dogs Miami a 61% probability to cover and a 49% outright win probability, meaning we should bet this anywhere we can get odds of +105 or better for the win.

Last year's rivalry battle resulted in a 31-24 win for Miami and with a vulnerable Cincinnati defense that's been lit up for over 500 passing yards in two games, this one has potential for another RedHawks win.

Best prop in this game: B. Sorsby (CIN) Score a Touchdown (+340)

🏈 Cincinnati vs. Miami OH Full Game Betting Preview

+2077 Week 3 College Football Underdogs Parlay

If you're feeling really adventurous, you can play these three underdogs into a single parlay that clocks in at +2077 odds.

As a regular college football bettor, I personally recommend playing these as straight bets, and then sprinkling a small amount on the parlay. If you put 1 unit on each Moneyline, I wouldn't go higher than .25U on the parlay as it comes with much more risk.

For a college football parlay that's not quite a longshot, read Nick Slade's Week 3 College Football parlay here.

Dimers' College Football Betting Resources for the 2024 Season

• CFB Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 3 matchup
• CFB Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• CFB Best Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NCAA Championship Odds: Who will win it all this year?
• CFB Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

Responsible Gambling

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