Best College Football Bets and Picks for Georgia vs. Tennessee - November 18, 2023

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Best College Football Bets and Picks for Georgia vs. Tennessee - November 18, 2023

There's nothing better than getting better odds than you're supposed to on a bet, especially when you get to pick whatever bet that is. One of our key goals here at Dimers is to help you find the most profitable promos and offers on the best sportsbooks out there on top of delivering our trusted best college football picks, props and parlays.

Today's boost is on DraftKings Sportsbook and features the Week 12 showdown between the Georgia Bulldogs and Tennessee Volunteers. This is a great opportunity to see why you need to have multiple sportsbooks, as this boost is exlusive to DraftKings. As Dimers explains in detail within our best sportsbooks page through in-depth reviews, there are unique advantages to each sportsbook that's available in your state, and this is no exception.

Don't have DraftKings? Well, then you're in luck, because new users can score $150 in bonus bets after betting just $5. That $5 bet can be on anything and as long it's the first one you place, you'll get $150 in bonuses instantly dropped into your account, and that's one hell of a bankroll builder. Plus you'll get no-sweat tokens to use every day, and the best part is your bet doesn't even have to win. Talk about no sweat. Tap the offer below to sign up and collect your $150 if you haven't already.

 

Anyways, let's dive into Georgia vs. Tennessee predictions and how to make the best use of your 25% profit boost.

Best Bets to Boost in Georgia vs. Tennesse - 3:30 PM EDT

We'll look at three different ways to bet on this game: a total, a prop and a TD scorer, using our model's insights for each to determine the edge we gain by boosting each bet by 25%.

Under 58.5 Points (-112, boosted to +111)

Let's start with a look at the total as this is our model's strongest probability for a side, not counting the Georgia moneyline which is too juiced at -380 to consider as the 25% boost on the moneyline only brings you to -312.

Our model projects a 56% probability of the under and at odds of -112, we're already getting a slight edge as the odds imply just a 52.8% probability. If you add the boost, however, we take the odds into plus-money territory at +111 where we increase the edge (our advantage against the books) up to nearly 10% as we've created odds that imply just a 47.3% chance

 

Jaylen Wright Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-115, boosted to +108)

Another minus odds bet that we get into plus-money territory, we now look at a player prop. Our highest probability and edge for a prop in this game, as a matter of fact. And what's interesting, is you actually get better value on this bet at +108 than the Under at +111. How? Let's explain:

Even though we're getting shorter (ever so slightly) odds on the prop than the total, it's the probability that's the key, as Wright gets a 69.9% probability from our model to clear his rushing line, compared to the 56% probability of the under. Combined with the profit boost, and we see the edge on this play go from an already significant 16.4% to a massive 21.8% edge. That's serious value!

Wright has cleared this mark in seven games, going nuclear with 110+ in six of those and Georgia is allowing 105.2 rushing yards per game this season.

 

Jabari Small Anytime TD (+240, boosted to +300)

Go big or go home, right? Jabari Small gets the best value from our model to score a touchdown in this game with a 42.3% probability against his +240 odds which imply a 29.4% chance. When we apply our 25% boos to this prop, we take the edge from 12.9% to 17.3%. Small has only found the endzone twice this year, so boosting his odds gets us a more appropriate price.

If you want to go a little less risky, then consider one of the other TD scorers our model likes in this game, like Brock Bowers or our man Jaylen Wright, who's scored in two of his last three games.

draftkings promo code, draftkings boost, tennessee volunteers, touchdown props

 

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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