Bengals vs. Patriots Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 24, 2022
The New England Patriots take on the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 16 action at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' top betting picks for Bengals vs. Patriots, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.
Who will win Bengals vs. Patriots?
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Bengals-Patriots NFL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Bengals a 67% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 16 of the NFL season.
More: Bengals vs. Patriots Simulated 10,000 Times
Bengals vs. Patriots Odds
- Spread: Patriots +3 (-107), Bengals -3 (-105)
- Moneyline: Patriots +140, Bengals -149
- Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-107/-107)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Patriots are currently +3 underdogs against the Bengals, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.
For the favored Bengals (-3) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -105.
DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +140. That means you can throw down $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.
On the other hand, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bengals at -149, where you can risk $149 to win $100, for a total payout of $249, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Bengals (-3) are a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 16 Matchup
Best Bets for Bengals vs. Patriots
- Spread: Bengals -3 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (59% probability) 🔥
- Moneyline: Bengals @ -149 via Caesars Sportsbook (67% probability) 🔥
- Total: Under 41.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (50% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best free picks of the day across all sports.
Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make better decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.
Bengals vs. Patriots Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Cincinnati vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 16 has the Bengals winning 23-18.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Bengals-Patriots matchup in Week 16, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live scores.
Bengals vs. Patriots Player Props
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bengals vs. Patriots? The latest data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bengals and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Saturday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Cincinnati's Ja'Marr Chase is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bengals vs. Patriots.
DimersBOT gives Chase a 12.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Bengals WR is a 46.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Cincinnati Bengals
- Ja'Marr Chase: 12.5% probability
- Joe Mixon: 12.1% probability
- Tee Higgins: 9.1% probability
- Tyler Boyd: 6.1% probability
- Joe Burrow: 5.1% probability
New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.0% probability
- Damien Harris: 7.2% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 6.7% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.4% probability
- Tyquan Thornton: 3.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Cincinnati Bengals
- Joe Mixon: 47.2% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 46.5% probability
- Tee Higgins: 37.0% probability
- Tyler Boyd: 24.6% probability
- Joe Burrow: 21.6% probability
New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 39.9% probability
- Damien Harris: 30.3% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 27.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 22.6% probability
- Tyquan Thornton: 15.4% probability
Bengals-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Burrow is projected to have a big game with 281 passing yards, while the Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 203 yards.
Bengals Starting QB
- Joe Burrow: 281 projected yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 203 projected yards
Bengals Rushing
- Joe Mixon: 57 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 28 projected yards
- Joe Burrow: 12 projected yards
Patriots Rushing
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 61 projected yards
- Damien Harris: 44 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 11 projected yards
Bengals Receiving
- Ja'Marr Chase: 97 projected yards
- Tee Higgins: 63 projected yards
- Tyler Boyd: 49 projected yards
- Mitchell Wilcox: 26 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 21 projected yards
Patriots Receiving
- Jakobi Meyers: 46 projected yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 35 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 29 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 25 projected yards
- Tyquan Thornton: 24 projected yards
Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Bengals vs. Patriots on Saturday December 24, 2022.
Bengals vs. Patriots 2022
The NFL Week 16 game between the Patriots and Bengals at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Saturday December 24, 2022
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
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