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Bengals vs. Patriots Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 24, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Bengals vs. Patriots Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 24, 2022

The New England Patriots take on the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 16 action at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Bengals vs. Patriots, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

 

Who will win Bengals vs. Patriots?

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Bengals-Patriots NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Bengals a 67% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 16 of the NFL season.

More: Bengals vs. Patriots Simulated 10,000 Times

Bengals vs. Patriots Odds

  • Spread: Patriots +3 (-107), Bengals -3 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Patriots +140, Bengals -149
  • Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Patriots are currently +3 underdogs against the Bengals, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Bengals (-3) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +140. That means you can throw down $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.

On the other hand, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bengals at -149, where you can risk $149 to win $100, for a total payout of $249, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bengals (-3) are a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 16 Matchup

Best Bets for Bengals vs. Patriots

 

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best free picks of the day across all sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make better decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Bengals vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Cincinnati vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 16 has the Bengals winning 23-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Bengals-Patriots matchup in Week 16, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live scores.

Bengals vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bengals vs. Patriots? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bengals and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Cincinnati's Ja'Marr Chase is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bengals vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Chase a 12.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Bengals WR is a 46.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Ja'Marr Chase: 12.5% probability
  • Joe Mixon: 12.1% probability
  • Tee Higgins: 9.1% probability
  • Tyler Boyd: 6.1% probability
  • Joe Burrow: 5.1% probability

New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.0% probability
  • Damien Harris: 7.2% probability
  • Jakobi Meyers: 6.7% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 5.4% probability
  • Tyquan Thornton: 3.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe Mixon: 47.2% probability
  • Ja'Marr Chase: 46.5% probability
  • Tee Higgins: 37.0% probability
  • Tyler Boyd: 24.6% probability
  • Joe Burrow: 21.6% probability

New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 39.9% probability
  • Damien Harris: 30.3% probability
  • Jakobi Meyers: 27.4% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 22.6% probability
  • Tyquan Thornton: 15.4% probability

Bengals-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Burrow is projected to have a big game with 281 passing yards, while the Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 203 yards.

Bengals Starting QB

  • Joe Burrow: 281 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

  • Mac Jones: 203 projected yards

Bengals Rushing

  • Joe Mixon: 57 projected yards
  • Samaje Perine: 28 projected yards
  • Joe Burrow: 12 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 61 projected yards
  • Damien Harris: 44 projected yards
  • Mac Jones: 11 projected yards

Bengals Receiving

  • Ja'Marr Chase: 97 projected yards
  • Tee Higgins: 63 projected yards
  • Tyler Boyd: 49 projected yards
  • Mitchell Wilcox: 26 projected yards
  • Joe Mixon: 21 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

  • Jakobi Meyers: 46 projected yards
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 35 projected yards
  • Hunter Henry: 29 projected yards
  • Jonnu Smith: 25 projected yards
  • Tyquan Thornton: 24 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Bengals vs. Patriots on Saturday December 24, 2022.

 

Bengals vs. Patriots 2022

The NFL Week 16 game between the Patriots and Bengals at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots
  • Date: Saturday December 24, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

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Want more NFL previews like this?

To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Bengals vs. Patriots, all you've gotta do is visit our NFL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can write the most comprehensive NFL betting previews available. We're able to do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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