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Bengals vs. Browns Computer Picks, NFL Odds and Prediction for Monday Night Football on October 31, 2022
It's fitting that two teams that wear orange will meet in a Monday night Halloween matchup, as the Cleveland Browns host the Cincinnati Bengals in what is a big AFC North showdown. This game will kick off at 8:20PM ET on October 31, when Cincinnati will be going for its fifth win in six games against a Cleveland team that has lost four in a row.
Find out how we think this one will play out in our Bengals vs. Browns betting preview.
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Bengals vs. Browns Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- 56% chance the Browns cover the +3.5 spread
- 61% chance the Bengals win on the moneyline
- No edge on Bengals vs. Browns Over/Under 45
For the best NFL computer picks, check out our Bengals vs. Browns data predictions. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Bengals vs. Browns Odds and Betting Lines
Why The Bengals Will Cover The Spread
In less than three years, Joe Burrow has won a collegiate national championship, been selected No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft, and led the Bengals to the Super Bowl. What he hasn’t done is beat the Cleveland Browns.
That could all change on Halloween night. Cleveland’s defense is underachieving big time under coordinator Joe Woods, who has been under the microscope since a Week 2 meltdown against the Jets. Although the Browns limited Lamar Jackson to nine completed passes in their 23-20 defeat, two weeks ago they were picked apart by New England rookie Bailey Zappe.
Burrow has no shortage of weapons and should pick apart Woods’ secondary.
Offensively, the Browns are sure to miss tight end David Njoku (high ankle sprain) for anywhere between 2-5 weeks.
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Why The Browns Will Cover The Spread
Nick Chubb, Nick Chubb, and more Nick Chubb. The NFL’s rushing leader with 740 yards and eight touchdowns on 126 carries can’t get the ball enough. Averaging a shade under six yards per carry, Chubb is sure to be the focus of a Cincinnati defense that ranks 19th against the run.
What Chubb is to the offense is what Myles Garrett is to the Browns’ defense. Burrow has been sacked 24 times, but Cleveland has managed only 14 sacks in seven games. Garrett, who missed one contest and parts of another, leads the way with a half-dozen.
Why The Over Will Hit
Cincinnati’s offense is clicking, having produced at least 27 points in four of the last five games, and Burrow wants nothing more than to check the box when it comes to beating the Browns.
The Bengals scored on each of their first four possessions in last week’s 35-17 victory over Atlanta, with Burrow throwing for 481 yards and three touchdowns and rushing for a score.
The Browns would prefer to avoid a track meet, but do have the league’s sixth-ranked offense and could counterpunch.
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Why The Under Will Hit
The Browns will try to keep the clock moving and keep Burrow, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon on the sideline as much as possible. Keeping the score down is Cleveland’s best route to victory. It should help that Ja'Marr Chase is out 4-6 weeks.
It’s unlikely Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski will want to get involved in a back-and-forth shootout and lean on Jacoby Brissett, who’s been sacked nine times in the past two weeks and been intercepted four times over the past four games after just one pick in the first three.
Bengals vs. Browns Prediction
Lean: Bengals -3.5
Of Cleveland’s five losses, four are by a field goal or less. The Browns can usually compete with anyone, but their defense won’t be able to contain a motivated Burrow.
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Tony Bellissimo, with over 25 years of sports reporting and editing experience, has earned multiple New York State Press Association awards and oversees sports coverage for 30 high schools and several colleges on Long Island.
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