Bears vs. Commanders Week 5 Prediction and Odds - October 5, 2023

The Washington Commanders will take on the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 5 action at FedExField on Thursday, starting at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Bears vs. Commanders, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

This Chicago vs. Washington betting analysis is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Bears vs. Commanders

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Bears-Commanders NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Commanders a 73% chance of winning against the Bears in Week 5 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Predictions for Bears vs. Commanders

Bears vs. Commanders Odds

• Spread: Commanders -6 (-105), Bears +6 (-110)
• Moneyline: Commanders -255, Bears +220
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-105)

The Commanders are listed as -6 favorites versus the Bears, with -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Bears (+6) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at -255, which means you can risk $255 to win $100, for a total payout of $355, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +220, where you can bet $100 to profit $220, earning a total payout of $320, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 44.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (-6) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.

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More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets: Bears vs. Commanders

• Spread: Commanders -6 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Commanders @ -255 via FanDuel Sportsbook (73% probability)
• Total: Over 44.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (55% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Bears vs. Commanders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Chicago vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 5 has the Commanders winning 26-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Bears-Commanders game in Week 5, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Bears vs. Commanders Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Commanders? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bears and Commanders, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Washington's Brian Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Commanders.

DimersBOT gives Robinson an 11.6% chance of getting in for six first at FedExField, while the Commanders RB is a 47.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 11.0% probability
• DJ Moore: 7.5% probability
• Khalil Herbert: 7.4% probability
• Roschon Johnson: 6.0% probability
• Cole Kmet: 4.8% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 11.6% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 7.8% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 7.2% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 6.1% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 5.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 45.4% probability
• Khalil Herbert: 33.9% probability
• DJ Moore: 32.5% probability
• Roschon Johnson: 28.5% probability
• Cole Kmet: 21.9% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 47.4% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 34.0% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 31.8% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 28.0% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 26.1% probability

Bears-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Justin Fields is projected for 198 passing yards, while the Commanders' Sam Howell is expected to throw for 238 yards.

Bears Starting QB

• Justin Fields: 198 projected yards

Commanders Starting QB

• Sam Howell: 238 projected yards

Bears Rushing

• Khalil Herbert: 62 projected yards
• Justin Fields: 57 projected yards
• Roschon Johnson: 25 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Brian Robinson: 58 projected yards
• Sam Howell: 19 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 16 projected yards

Bears Receiving

• DJ Moore: 66 projected yards
• Cole Kmet: 41 projected yards
• Darnell Mooney: 35 projected yards
• Robert Tonyan: 15 projected yards
• Khalil Herbert: 14 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 68 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 46 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 36 projected yards
• Logan Thomas: 29 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 18 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Bears vs. Commanders on Thursday October 5, 2023.

Bears vs. Commanders 2023

The NFL Week 5 matchup between the Commanders and Bears at FedExField is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Thursday October 5, 2023
• Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
• Venue: FedExField

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Our picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Bears vs. Commanders predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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