Bears vs. Commanders Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Bears vs. Commanders Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay

The 2023 NFL season is here and Dimers has got you covered for Thursday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

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NFL +540 Same Game Parlay For Thursday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Khalil Herbert Over 48.5 Rushing Yards

-114

Cole Kmet Over 31.5 Receiving Yards

-114

Antonio Gibson Over 12.5 Receiving Yards

-114

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Bears vs. Commanders Parlay Analysis

Bears vs. Commanders 8:15PM ET

LEG 1: Khalil Herbert Over 48.5 Rushing Yards

Despite the Bears' awful, awful loss against the Broncos on Sunday, we might have gotten a glimpse into the Justin Field we were all promised at the start of the season, and Khalil Herbert stands to profit directly. Fields ran less and passed more against Denver, opting to give his volume as a faux-running back to Herbert who had his best outing to date this season with 103 rushing yards on 18 carries. That was the kind of break out performance that Chicago fans have been looking for and is something that our model thinks can be replicated against this Washington run defense that does allow opposing RBs to get free, ranking 26th in the league for yards allowed per rush at 4.6. We've got Herbert breezing through this line with 56 rushing yards projected.

MORE: Super Bowl Odds

LEG 2: Cole Kmet Over 31.5 Receiving Yards

Kmet was on fire in Week 4 against the Broncos, going for 85 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Reliable receivers for Justin Fields in this Bears offense is hard to find, so it stands to reason that we'll see another big game out of the tight end who has eclipsed his receiving prop in three of the four games already this season. The Dimers NFL player prop predictor has Kmet going for 41 yards.


LEG 3: Antonio Gibson Over 12.5 Receiving Yards

Gibson has well and truly played second fiddle at the running back position to Brian Robinson to start the year, but with Robinson's lines inflated as a result, there is still some betting value to be had on Gibson if you like a sweat. Gibson has been used sparingly in the Commander offense, but has been getting some nice looks with checkdown and dump off passes with 10 targets in 2023 for an average of 8.5 yards per catch. This is a prop that can be gobbled up in one catch, with our projections putting Gibson at 18 receiving yards.

🏈 Bears vs. Commanders Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Bears vs. Commanders


NFL +540 Same Game Parlay Thursday, October 5, 2023

1️⃣ Khalil Herbert Over 48.5 Rushing Yards
2️⃣ Cole Kmet Over 31.5 Receiving Yards
3️⃣ Antonio Gibson Over 12.5 Receiving Yards

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

 

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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