Bears vs. Chiefs Week 3 Prediction and Odds - September 24, 2023

The Kansas City Chiefs will square off with the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 3 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Bears vs. Chiefs, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

This Chicago vs. Kansas City betting analysis is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Who Will Win: Bears vs. Chiefs

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Bears-Chiefs NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chiefs an 84% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 3 of the NFL season.

More: Bears vs. Chiefs Simulated 10,000 Times

Bears vs. Chiefs Odds

• Spread: Chiefs -13 (-110), Bears +13 (-110)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -700, Bears +550
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110)

The Chiefs are currently -13 favorites against the Bears, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Bears (+13) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -700. That means you can risk $700 to win $100, for a total payout of $800, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +550, where you can bet $100 to profit $550, earning a total payout of $650, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bears (+13) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 3 Game

Best Bets: Bears vs. Chiefs

• Spread: Bears +13 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (54% probability)
• Moneyline: Bears @ +550 via DraftKings Sportsbook (1.0% edge)
• Total: Under 48.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (56% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class modeling and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Bears moneyline is the best option due to the 1.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Bears vs. Chiefs Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Chicago vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 3 has the Chiefs winning 29-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Bears-Chiefs game in Week 3, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live scores.

Bears vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bears vs. Chiefs? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bears and Chiefs, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 10.5% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 45.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 6.7% probability
• Roschon Johnson: 5.5% probability
• DJ Moore: 5.4% probability
• Khalil Herbert: 4.7% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 3.9% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 10.5% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 7.0% probability
• Kadarius Toney: 6.6% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 5.5% probability
• Skyy Moore: 5.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 33.8% probability
• DJ Moore: 27.2% probability
• Roschon Johnson: 27.1% probability
• Khalil Herbert: 24.7% probability
• Chase Claypool: 21.3% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 45.3% probability
• Kadarius Toney: 32.0% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 31.1% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 27.3% probability
• Skyy Moore: 25.1% probability

Bears-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Justin Fields is projected for 207 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 296 yards.

Bears Starting QB

• Justin Fields: 207 projected yards

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 296 projected yards

Bears Rushing

• Justin Fields: 50 projected yards
• Khalil Herbert: 49 projected yards
• Roschon Johnson: 32 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Isiah Pacheco: 55 projected yards
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 32 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards

Bears Receiving

• DJ Moore: 62 projected yards
• Darnell Mooney: 47 projected yards
• Cole Kmet: 38 projected yards
• Chase Claypool: 24 projected yards
• Roschon Johnson: 19 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 79 projected yards
• Kadarius Toney: 43 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 41 projected yards
• Skyy Moore: 36 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 30 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis ahead of Bears vs. Chiefs on Sunday September 24, 2023.

Bears vs. Chiefs 2023

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Chiefs and Bears at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday September 24, 2023
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today

Our picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Bears vs. Chiefs predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other NFL Games Are on Today?

Now you've got the 411 on Bears vs. Chiefs, take a look at the latest predictions for all NFL games via our NFL picks and predictions, where you can find probabilities and odds, plus our best bets for each and every NFL matchup. Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every single day of the NFL season.