Baylor vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Mississippi State Predicted to Win March Madness First Round Matchup [3/21/2025]

Mississippi State and Baylor will meet in March Madness First Round action at Lenovo Center on Friday, with tipoff at 12:15PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Mississippi State as the most likely winner of today's game.

Check the latest March Madness bracket projections and 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities from our expert team.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Baylor-Mississippi State game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Mississippi State's chance of winning is 57%, while Baylor's is 43%."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive Baylor vs. Mississippi State predictions page.

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Baylor vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Second Round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA Tournament game between Baylor and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our March Madness predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Mississippi State a 57% chance of beating Baylor. Our predicted final score has Mississippi State winning 75-73.

According to our model, Mississippi State (-1) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 148.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Baylor vs. Mississippi State March Madness Odds

We have researched the best March Madness odds in America for this First Round game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Baylor	Mississippi State
Spread	+1 (-108)	-1 (-112)
Moneyline	+100	-115
Total	o148.5 (-108)	u148.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Baylor vs. Mississippi State Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Baylor vs. Mississippi State matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best March Madness picks and March Madness best bets for every game throughout the tournament.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Baylor vs. Mississippi State Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's college basketball game between Mississippi State and Baylor at Lenovo Center is scheduled to start at 12:15PM ET.

• Who: Baylor vs. Mississippi State
• Date: Friday, March 21, 2025
• Time: 12:15PM ET/9:15AM PT
• Venue: Lenovo Center
• March Madness Stage: First Round

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Baylor vs. Mississippi State matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Baylor vs. Mississippi State picks, be sure to check out the latest March Madness predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key March Madness Guides and Insights

• Learn about NCAA Championship history and the lowest-seeded team to ever win March Madness
• Get answers to legal questions, including which states you can legally bet on college sports and the minimum age required to place a bet on March Madness
• A breakdown of March Madness futures bets and popular prop bets for the NCAA tournament
• Explore strategy with guides on identifying value bets during the tournament and betting on individual player awards like Tournament MVP
• Understand the tournament format, including how many games are played in March Madness and how venue locations impact teams when playing at neutral sites

Conclusion

We predict Mississippi State, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Baylor on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baylor vs. Mississippi State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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